Tottenham vs Chelsea 2019 EPL Betting Lines & Expert Pick

Posted by Aaron . on December 20, 2019 in

The busy holiday schedule in the English Premier League gets started this weekend, highlighted by a London Derby between Tottenham and Chelsea. At home in their new stadium, Tottenham is the slightest of favorites with a +134 money line compared to Chelsea’s +170. Meanwhile, a draw is set at +254.

Chelsea currently sits fourth in the Premier League table, although the Blues aren’t trending in the right direction. Frank Lampard’s team has suffered back-to-back losses, losing at home to Bournemouth this past weekend on the heels of a 3-1 away defeat to Everton the previous week. Both clubs were in terrible form at the time, making those losses even more difficult to swallow. Since the last international break, Chelsea has lost four of five Premier League games despite positive results in Champions League.

Meanwhile, Spurs are moving in the opposite direction. Jose Mourinho took over as the club’s new manager after the last international break and immediately turned things around. Tottenham has won four of their last five Premier League games, quickly moving from mid-table to fifth, a mere three points behind Chelsea. With a win over the Blues on Sunday, Tottenham will leapfrog Chelsea on goal difference and move into the top-4.

Tottenham vs Chelsea 2019 EPL Betting Lines & Expert Pick

We Got Mo

Since taking over, Mourinho has made some subtle changes that have paid off. Dele Alli has become a key figure, playing directly underneath striker Harry Kane and is suddenly in the best form of his young career. Tottenham’s offensive potential has been unleashed, albeit against a somewhat favorable schedule. Spurs have scored 14 goals in their last five league games after scoring 18 in the first 12 games.

Of course, Mourinho is yet to sort out the Tottenham defense, which is leaky at best. Spurs have conceded seven goals in their last five Premier League games. Eric Dier is once again in the team to help reinforce the central midfield. However, Spurs have been vulnerable on the wings and also look uneasy on set pieces.

Playing the Babies

When Chelsea was going good early in the season, it had a lot to do with some of their young players. The trio of Tammy Abraham, Mason Mount, and Christian Pulisic has combined for 21 of the team’s 31 Premier League goals this season.

However, that group has gone cold recently, coinciding with Chelsea’s clump. Even Abraham has been limited to just one goal in his last four games.

Part of Chelsea’s problem could be a lack of a bonafide playmaker in the midfield. Mateo Kovacic and Jorginho have just two assists each in Premier League play this season.

The silver lining is that veteran winger Willian and the team’s fullbacks could be in a good position to do damage on the wings against the Tottenham backline, creating opportunities for Abraham in the box.

Hello Old Friend

Spurs have turned things up a notch under Mourinho, but they also lost to Manchester United. They now face another traditional power and another club that Mourinho used to manage.

This will be a proving ground for Tottenham and their new manager. This may not be the best time to take a chance on them, especially when the payoff is better for a draw. Bet on Tottenham and Chelsea sharing the points on Sunday.