Tottenham vs Ajax UEFA Champions League Odds & Prediction

Posted by Derrick Harper on April 29, 2019 in

The Champions League semi-finals get underway Tuesday with the first leg between Tottenham Hotspurs and Ajax. At home, Tottenham has a +135 money line with Ajax listed at +183 and a draw set at +226.

Tottenham vs Ajax UEFA Champions League Odds & Prediction

Ajax has become somewhat of a Cinderella story during the Champions League knockout stage. They have knocked off giants Real Madrid and Juventus on their way to the semi-finals, outscoring those teams 6-2 in their away fixtures. The Dutch side has also won seven of their last eight games across all competitions, although most of those wins have come in the Dutch Eredivisie.

Tottenham, meanwhile, has lost some form recently. Despite advancing past English rival Manchester City in the last round, they lost the second leg 4-3 and have lost two of their three matches in the Premier League since then, including a 1-0 home defeat over the weekend in a London derby to West Ham United.

Who’s Taking the Field?

At the moment, Tottenham’s biggest problem may be a lack of bodies. Striker Harry Kane was lost during the first leg against Manchester City. The likes of Harry Winks, Moussa Sissoko, and Erik Lamela are also doubtful to be fit for Tuesday’s game.

Perhaps the most important absence will by Son Heung-Min, who scored two massive goals in the second leg against Manchester City but also received a yellow card and will be suspended for the first leg against Ajax.

Between the injuries and a long list of fixtures over the past few weeks, Spurs are a tired team. Tuesday’s game will be their third in eight days, and they simply don’t have the squad depth to rotate their players.

After dominating play in the 1st half against West Ham over the weekend, Spurs fell flat in the 2nd half, failing to put together a full 90 minutes. That could be a concern against Ajax unless the crowd at their new stadium can provide them with the energy and lift they need to put together a strong 90-minute effort.

Familiar Faces in Tottenham vs Ajax

There’s an interesting amount of familiarity between these two teams. Tottenham has several former Ajax players in the squad, including some of their most important players. Meanwhile, Ajax has several players who have played in the Premier League.

Among those players is Dusan Tadic, who has been scoring goals like crazy this season. He was 23 goals in league play and six more in Champions League, so he will be a marked man for the Tottenham defense.

Of course, Ajax is anything but a one-man team. They have three other players in Klaas-Jan Huntelaar, Kasper Dolberg, and Hakim Ziyech who have double-digit goal totals in the Eredivisie this season.

Considering all of Tottenham’s injuries at the moment and Son’s suspension, Ajax may have more attacking options than Spurs, even if Tottenham still boasts world-class talents in Christian Eriksen and Dele Alli.

Call It Even for Tottenham vs Ajax First Leg

As you’d expect in the Champions League semi-finals, this game is a tough one to call. Ajax is the more rested and perhaps more confident side at the moment. However, Tottenham has a strong record at their new stadium, which should be rocking for a European semi-final. Bet on both teams creating scoring chances and the game ending in a draw.