2018 World Cup Betting Preview: Day 13

Posted by Derrick Harper on June 25, 2018 in

Tuesday continues the last set of games of the group stage of the 2018 World Cup Betting action. As usual, there will be two sets of games played simultaneously to determine who will advance and who will be eliminated from Groups C and D.

2018 World Cup Betting Preview: Day 13

Australia vs. Peru

Peru has already been eliminated, but the Aussies still have a chance to move forward if they win and get a little help, namely France beating Denmark. That being said, the South American side is a slight favorite at +144. An Australia win, meanwhile, is listed at +199, with a draw set at +230. Of course, a draw does no good for either team.

At this point in the tournament, Australia has scored two goals, although both have come on penalty kicks. The Socceroos have made things difficult on their Group C opponents, but they’ve been lacking in creativity and execution in the attack third. Knowing they need a win, they’ll be forced to press the issue and get forward against Peru, a tactic that isn’t exactly in their DNA.

Peru, meanwhile, will be disappointed to already be eliminated. However, since they are playing in the World Cup for the first time since 1982, they wouldn’t mind a consolation victory. The Peruvians have played entertaining, attack-minded soccer in their first two games, which could allow them to control the pace of the game against Australia and perhaps get the win.

France vs. Denmark

France has already locked up its spot in the knockout stage, but Les Bleus still needs a result against Denmark to win the group. Meanwhile, the Danes need at least a draw to ensure they advance as well. France is the favorite at +128 with a Denmark win set at +351. A draw could also be possible at +159.

After a slow start to the tournament, the French started to find their footing in their last game against Peru. However, they still want to put together a quality performance over 90 minutes before heading into the knockout stage where one bad game could cost them.

As for Denmark, they are likely to take a more conservative approach in this game, knowing a draw is enough. Of course, playing for a draw can be a risky strategy, so Denmark will need to look for ways to get forward. However, the struggled to get star player Christian Eriksen on the ball in their last game, which made it difficult for them to create scoring chances. It may not be easy to do that against the talent of the France midfield.

Croatia vs. Iceland

Croatia has already qualified for the knockout stage, so they could choose to rotate their players, but they are still +115 favorites to beat Iceland. Meanwhile, it’s a must-win game for Iceland, who is listed at +253. A draw in the game is set at +234, although that will not help Iceland remain in the tournament.

The caveat for Iceland is that they are not built to attack. That’s not to say they are shy about getting forward, but they are not a team to press high and look to control the ball. However, they have no choice against Croatia but to push forward for a goal that can give them a lead to protect.

Croatia is one of the 2018 World Cup Betting favorites to win it all.

Of course, Iceland will be facing arguably the most impressive defensive team of the tournament. Croatia is just one of two teams not to allow a goal in their first two games, and they’ve done so against two teams with better-attacking players than Iceland. In short, Iceland faces an uphill climb against a team that has looked awfully convincing early in the tournament.

Nigeria vs. Argentina

It all comes down to this for Lionel Messi and Argentina. The South American side needs a win and a little help to advance and keep their world championship hopes alive. On the bright side, Argentina is a heavy -193 favorite, whereas a Nigeria win is set at +545. A draw is listed at +330.

Of course, Nigeria needs a result from this game too. A draw could be enough for the Super Eagles if they get help, but Nigeria knows that a win will send them through to the next round. The improvement from their first game to their second game was like night and day for the Nigerians, so they should feel confident about playing a struggling Argentina team.

That being said, Nigeria may not be as defensive savvy as Croatia and Iceland. They may push for a more open game, which will be a welcome sight to Messi and company. However, Messi’s supporting cast hasn’t played well in this tournament and while the Argentines could be dangerous going forward against Nigeria, they may also be vulnerable to the speed and athleticism the Super Eagles possess.