Revised Odds to Win the Stanley Cup

Posted by Aaron . on April 25, 2016 in

On Sunday afternoon, the Dallas Stars, at long last, eliminated the pesky Minnesota Wild from the Stanley Cup playoffs. Never mind that the Stars were the top seed in the Western Conference and the Wild held the second wild card. The Stars had gone up 2-0 to start the series, only to lose Game 3 and then come home to lose Game 5 in overtime. Then, they seemed to be cruising to an easy Game 6 win, leading 4-0 after two periods, but then the Wild mounted a furious comeback, scoring four goals and then almost a fifth, as they got a puck partway over the goal line, but not all the way, and a crazy bounce put a fifth Dallas goal in the back of the Wild net, and the Stars escaped. Their color radio analyst, Darryl Reaugh, said after the game that “It’s easier to kiss your elbows than it is to eliminate an opponent in the Stanley Cup.” If you’ve ever tried to kiss your elbows, you know what teams like the Stars deal with — and their fellow top seed in the Eastern Conference, the Washington Capitals, also got pushed to six games by a pesky Philadelphia Flyers team before white-knuckling their way to a 1-0 victory in Game 6.

So, with a deep breath, let’s take a look at the newest NHL odds that the surviving teams have to hoist Lord Stanley’s hardware in a few weeks.

Revised Odds to Win the Stanley Cup

 

 

Washington (+350)

A lot of people (including me) were predicting that the Caps would sweep the Flyers, or maybe need a fifth game. But the Flyers were game, pushing Washington to a sixth game. Nevertheless, the Caps showed that they have an ironclad defense when they need it.

Dallas (+500)

The Stars posted three one-goal victories in their series with the Wild. The Stars don’t have a problem on offense, but they do tend to panic a little early. One reason why the Wild even got back into Game 6 was an unnecessary panic penalty early in the third, which led to a quick Minnesota goal, followed by a blown coverage 16 seconds later. The Stars don’t have an elite goalie, so they need their coverages to be ironclad and they need more mental toughness if they are going to beat some of the tougher teams in a seven-game series.

Pittsburgh Penguins (+600)

These odds would be lower if they didn’t have to get by Washington. This is the scariest offensive team in the NHL right now.

San Jose Sharks (+800)

Their five-game dispatching of the Los Angeles Kings should have Anaheim and Nashville very worried.

Chicago and St. Louis (+1000)

These Central Division doppelgaengers are headed to a Game 7. The Blues play smothering defense and capitalize on opponent mistakes. The Blackhawks score in bunches but make bewildering errors on the back end. Either team is going to give Dallas a hard time in the second round.

Anaheim (+1200)

The Ducks were almost in the oven after losing the first two, but now they have won three in a row and appear ready to win another on Monday night.

New York Islanders (+1500)

The plucky wild card team from the Metropolitan Division knocked out the Atlantic champions. I wouldn’t want to be the next team on their menu.

Nashville (+2500)

This wild card contender gave the Ducks all they wanted, but it will take a miracle to win Games 6 and 7 now.