Wild Card #4: Packers vs Redskins ATS NFL Betting Preview

Posted by Aaron . on January 7, 2016 in

Following their Week 17 NFL betting loss at home to the Minnesota Vikings, which cost them the NFC North title, the Green Bay Packers (10-6) limp to Washington to take on the NFC East champion Washington Redskins (9-7). The Packers are on a two-game skid SU and ATS, but the Redskins have won four in a row, including a thumping of the Dallas Cowboys in Week 17. Washington is favored to win by 1.5 points, and the over-under total is 47 points.

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Why should you take the Redskins (-1.5)?

As long as Washington can keep doing what has worked, they will keep going in the playoffs. Their defense has been surprisingly stout, and there will be plenty of holes for them to exploit as they pursue Aaron Rodgers. Kirk Cousins, seen as a turnover machine at the beginning of the season, has become a terrific passer — he just threw three touchdowns in the first quarter at Dallas in Week 17. At home this season, Cousins has completed almost 75 percent of his passes for 2,170 yards, scoring 16 touchdowns while hurling only two picks. In the Redskins’ last six games overall, he threw 14 touchdown passes with only one pick — and the Redskins won five of those games, clinching the NFC East in Week 16.

Why should you pick Green Bay (+1.5)?

In Week 17, the Packers were down 20-3 at the start of the 4th period, but Rodgers rallied the team in the 4th quarter.

If you watched the fourth quarter of the Packers’ victory at Detroit and their loss at home to Minnesota, you saw that any time Aaron Rodgers is leading the Packers’ offense, they have a chance to win. In Week 17, they were down 20-3 at the start of the fourth period, but Rodgers still rallied the team in the fourth quarter, until the margin was 20-13. Rodgers had the Pack on the verge of tying the game, but his bomb into the end zone as time wound down was knocked down. The Packers are also postseason regulars, appearing in the playoffs for the seventh straight year. Washington last appeared in the playoffs in 2012, and they fell to Seattle in the game that featured Robert Griffin III’s gruesome knee injury for the Redskins. Green Bay has the experience to carry this game.

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

The Packers simply have too many holes to fill on the offensive side, and Kirk Cousins will pick apart their defense. I like the Redskins to win this game, 24-20, and advance to the divisional round.