Wild Card #2 NFL Betting Lines: Chiefs at Texans ATS

Posted by Aaron . on January 7, 2016 in

The Kansas City Chiefs take on the Houston Texans this Saturday as one of two road wild card teams who are favored to beat their hosts who won divisions this year. The Seattle Seahawks are favored to beat the Minnesota Vikings in Minneapolis, and the Chiefs are favored to beat the Texans by three points in Houston. The NFL betting odds over/under total for this game is 41 points.

Why should you take the Chiefs (-3)?

No team in the National Football League is hotter than the Kansas City Chiefs right now, as they enter the postseason on a 10-game winning streak (7-3 ATS). The Chiefs were 1-5 when they started their present gallop to glory, and they were a Broncos loss away from winning the AFC West title outright. When Kansas City takes the field against the Texans, they will be looking to exorcise the demons of an eight-game skid in the playoffs. Even though they are 4-1 ATS in their last five postseason losses, they will be motivated to win both straight up and against the spread and move to the divisional round.

When we look back at the teams’ first meeting in Week 1, the Chiefs were up 27-6 in the second period and then took their foot off the gas the rest of the way, coasting to a simple win. Even though the Chiefs have lost their starting tailback (Jamaal Charles) from that game to an ACL tear, Charcandrick West has filled in quite nicely, running for 634 yards and four scores. West doesn’t have that explosive burst that Charles possesses, but he has still given Kansas City an additional dimension on offense so that defenses can’t key on Alex Smith alone. Those two dimensions should work well enough against the Texans for the Chiefs to come away with the win.

No team in the NFL is hotter than Kansas City right now.
No team in the National Football League is hotter than the Kansas City Chiefs right now.

Why should you put your money on Houston (+3)?

While Kansas City has gotten most of the press for their hot streak, Houston has won 7 of 10 (SU and ATS) to lock down the AFC South, as the Indianapolis Colts fell apart down the stretch. In their last five games at home, the Texans are 4-1 SU and ATS. In Week 17, they ran all over the Jacksonville Jaguars, turning a game in which they were favored by 5.5 points into a 30-6 rout.

It’s true that the Texans have started four different quarterbacks, but their Week 1 guy is back under center this week, as Brian Hoyer has returned from the NFL concussion protocol after missing two games. Ryan Mallett, who started in relief of Hoyer, got waived after missing a team flight to Miami in Week 7. T.J. Yates came on next, but he tore his ACL. Brandon Weeden was plucked from the waiver wire and did well, but Hoyer is the best option on the roster. These are not the timid Texans from Week 1, who opened their season 1-4 SU and ATS. They have covered in three of their last four postseason games.

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Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

Despite the fact that Kansas City head coach Andy Reid is beyond due for another series of moronic decisions concerning the clock that doom his team down the stretch, I like the momentum that the Chiefs have amassed down the stretch. I like them to knock that postseason monkey off their backs and win this game (and cover), 27-17.