Wild Card Weekend: Chiefs at Texans NFL SU Betting Lines

Posted by Aaron . on January 7, 2016 in

The NFL betting postseason begins this Saturday at 4:35pm Eastern time when the Kansas City Chiefs and Houston Texans take the field at NRG Stadium. The AFC South champion Texans (9-7) will be hosting the Chiefs (11-5) who took one of the AFC wild cards. The other went to the Pittsburgh Steelers, who take on the Cincinnati Bengals in the nightcap on Saturday. The Chiefs and the Texans faced off in Week 1, with the Chiefs winning in a laugher, but things look much different now on both sides of the ball as the teams meet this week.

Why should you bet on Kansas City?

As the Carolina Panthers showed this year, all winning streaks come to an end, some more emphatically than others. However, the Chiefs show no signs of slowing down as they enter the playoffs. They did lose their tailback, Jamaal Charles, in the early going, but Charcandrick West is a solid option in the offense. That’s important when Alex Smith is your quarterback, because while he is skilled as a game manager, driving the offense up and down the field while protecting the ball securely, you don’t want to have to rely on him in a gunslinging role after the opposition has shut down the running game.

Then there’s the Chiefs’ defense. They’ve held the opposition under 20 points per game through the season. There really aren’t any big stars on this defense, with the possible exception of Justin Houston — it’s just a unit that works really well together. This is a team that will be locked in on ending the franchise’s eight-game schneid in the playoffs in emphatic fashion.

Kansas City has held the opposition under 20 points per game through the season.
The Chiefs have held the opposition under 20 points per game through the season.

Why should you take the Texans?

Houston has been solid down the stretch too, winning seven of ten SU (both teams have gone 7-3 ATS in their last ten games). While their path has been through a terrible AFC South (Tennessee, Jacksonville and an Indianapolis team that has more closely resembled one of those groups of famous people arguing about their next project on Donald Trump’s Celebrity Apprentice than a football team this year), they are the team that emerged victorious. Offense has been a real mixed bag, as one would expect when a team has started four different quarterbacks, including a guy who was sitting at home when the team called (T.J. Yates) and a guy who couldn’t move the ball at all in Dallas but ended up looking like the second coming of Warren Moon in Houston in Brandon Weeden (OK, maybe that’s a bit over the top, but he was still pretty good). But those 30 points they put up on the Jags weren’t a fluke, and Brian Hoyer is taking the reins again this week.

The Texans have a defense that’s even a little better than the Chiefs, at least as far as yards permitted per play and points allowed per game. J.J. Watt is the ringleader of a terrific defensive unit that could easily give the Chiefs fits — even if they didn’t in their first meeting. This is a Texans team that has grown more confident as the season has worn on.

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

Watch Online Here

I don’t think that even a newly confident and resurgent Texans team can prevail against the Chiefs. Yes, Brian Hoyer is back, but he’s the same Brian Hoyer who teased the Cleveland Brown faithful with flashes of greatness, only to throw that key pick that would turn the tide in the game. I like Kansas City to win the game on both sides of the ball, 27-17.