Wild Card #4 NFL Betting Preview: Packers at Redskins SU

Posted by Aaron . on January 7, 2016 in

The Washington Redskins have emerged from the dumpster fire that was the NFC East this NFL betting season, winning their last four (and five of their last six) to win the division with a 9-7 record and earn the right to host a wild-card round playoff game. The Green Bay Packers have a better record (10-6) but have dropped two in a row, including a Week 17 home loss to the Minnesota Vikings, to fall out of the NFC North championship and end up with a wild card berth. The Packers come to town with a litany of problems, while the Redskins are hosting this game heading in the right direction.

Why should you take the Redskins?

Kirk Cousins has been terrific this season, throwing for more than 4,100 yards with 29 scores and only 11 picks. Pierre Garcon and Jordan Reed are talented receivers, capable of shredding any secondary that is either lacking in speed or failing to pay attention. The Redskins’ pass rush has also been solid, running up 38 sacks and 26 takeaways (11 interceptions, 15 fumble recoveries). DeAngelo Hall has provided sound veteran leadership to this defense.

Why should you pick Green Bay?

The Packers’ offensive line was missing all five of its starters at different points in Week 16 and Week 17 due to injury.

If the Green Bay secondary can shut down Kirk Cousins, the Redskins don’t have much in the way of a running game. Alfred Morris led the team in rushing yards, but he only had 751. He only ran for one touchdowns. Matt Jones picked up 490 yards on the ground. The player with the most rushing touchdowns on the Redskins this season is actually Kirk Cousins, with five. Also, the Redskins defense, surprisingly solid for much of the season, has been giving up points in bunches during the four-game winning streak. Luckily, the offense has been putting up enough points for the team to win anyway, but the Packers could put a stop to that.

NFL Betting Pick and Final Score Prediction

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The Packers’ offensive line was missing all five of its starters at different points in Week 16 and Week 17 due to injury. That meant that Eddie Lacy didn’t have the holes he’s used to in the running game and Aaron Rodgers had to run for his life too many times. Washington can take advantage of both of these trends. As a result, I like the Redskins to win this game, 24-20, and advance to the divisional round.