NFL Week 5 Winning Predictions

Posted by Peter Boysen on October 3, 2016 in

With the arrival of Week 5 in the NFL schedule, we get a sense of which teams play much better than we thought (Philadelphia, Buffalo, Oakland) and which teams have disappointed so far (Carolina, Arizona, Miami). We also see some big suspensions come to an end (headlined by Tom Brady in New England). As you plan your NFL betting for the coming week, take a look at some of our predictions for the action in Week 5.

NFL Week 5 Winning Predictions

Tom Brady will put up 300 yards and 30 points on Cleveland

So far, the Cleveland Browns have taken a rout from Philadelphia rookie quarterback Carson Wentz and yielded big comebacks to Baltimore quarterback Joe Flacco (recovering from an ACL tear and lacking in skill players at tailback and wide receiver) and Miami quarterback Ryan Tannehill (who has yet to impress consistently). Now comes Tom Brady back from his four-game DeflateGate suspension that took over a year to take effect. In the meantime, the Patriots have had to rely on Jimmy Garoppolo and rookie Jacoby Brissett at quarterback — and they have still defied expectations. Expect Brady to come into Cleveland ready to show everyone just how he feels about that suspension — and to take apart a Swiss-cheese Cleveland secondary.

Carson Wentz and Matthew Stafford will have the best passing duel of the week

Despite the fact that Carson Wentz spent his college career at FCS school North Dakota State, he has moved from the lower levels of the NCAA to starting for the Philadelphia Eagles without a wrinkle. Through his first three games, Wentz completed 64.7% of his passes and threw for five touchdowns without a single interception. He has fumbled twice, so if he needs to learn anything, it has to do with ball security while standing in the pocket. Matthew Stafford has a slightly better completion percentage (67.5) and more touchdown passes (7) but also has two interceptions. Both quarterbacks like to throw the ball down the field, and both secondaries can give up balls down the field. The Eagles have a better pass rush and a faster secondary up to this point than the Lions do, but I expect Stafford to send plenty of passes down the field and turn this into a real track meet.

Oakland 31, San Diego 17

San Diego has come out of the gate much more sharply than many people (including me) thought they would. They had the Kansas City Chiefs dead to rights in Week 1 before giving up a big second-half comeback and losing in overtime, and they routed the Jaguars at home before losing a close game to the Colts. However, Derek Carr has led the Raiders to a resurgence that has been fun to watch. They knocked off the Saints in a Week 1 barnburner, lost a tough game at home to Atlanta, and then rebounded by going to Tennessee and picking up a big road win in Week 3. If the Raiders plan to live up to their goal of winning the AFC West, this game gives them the opportunity to make a huge statement. I like Derek Carr and Amari Cooper to lead the Raider “O” to a big win.