Week 5 NFL Betting: Jacksonville at Tampa Bay

Posted by Aaron . on October 10, 2015 in

Jameis Winston and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will look to bring home the bacon in their Week 5 matchup against Blake Bortles and the Jacksonville Jaguars when the two young and rebuilding ballclubs square off in their Week 5 clash on Sunday. Now, let’s find out which team will win and cash in!

Jacksonville at Tampa Bay Game Information

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 11, 2015
Where: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida
NFL Odds: Tampa Bay -2.5
Over/Under: 42
TV: CBS

Jacksonville Jaguars 
Jacksonville has lost two straight games and even though they fought their little hearts out in their crushing 16-13 overtime loss to Indianapolis last weekend, I don’t see very many reasons why anyone would want to back the Jags, unless you’re either related to head coach Gus Bradley, you’re blind as a bat or you believe the young Buccaneers are ripe for the picking in this Week 6 pairing.
Jacksonville Jaguars NFL
With Jacksonville ranking a dismal 31st in scoring (15.5 ppg) and 25th in points allowed, there’s no doubt the Jags will be fighting an uphill battle in this one, even against a Tampa Bay team they’re about equally talented as.  Second-year quarterback Blake Bortles suddenly looks quite inept as he’s completed just 54.5 percent of his passes this season while tossing three picks to cut his touchdown production (6) in half.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 
While I don’t believe Tampa Bay is that much better than the perennially-rebuilding Jaguars, the Buccaneers do have a couple of things going for them heading into this contest. First and foremost, the Buccaneers are playing at home and that has to count for something right?
The Bucs are coming off a 37-23 loss against unbeaten Carolina last weekend as rookie quarterback Jameis Winston tossed four interceptions to cancel out his two-touchdown passing day, but the Bucs got a solid outing from wide receiver Vincent Jackson (10 catches, 147 yards) as well as veteran running back Doug Martin who continued his pursuit of the Comeback Player of the Year award by rushing for 106 yards and one score on 20 carries.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Ironically, the Bucs out-gained Carolina both, in passing and rushing despite coming out on the wrong end of the SU and ATS outcome. Tampa Bay ranks 27th in scoring (18.0 ppg) and a dismal 30th in points allowed (29.2 ppg). Game Analysis: A slim 51 percent of the betting public likes Tampa Bay to win and cash in at home and I think that’s just about right, because this game, on the surface, looks like a very close call.
While Jacksonville has gone 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings against the Buccaneers, the Jags are also 0-4 ATS in their last four Week 5 games while Tampa Bay has posted a near-perfect 6-1 ATS mark in their last seven games following an ATS loss.
I like Tampa Bay to get the win and narrow ATS cover mostly because they’re playing at home and have a head coach in Lovie Smith that can coach circles around Jacksonville’s Gus Bradley.
My Pick: Tampa Bay 28 Jacksonville 21