Denver Lands on Chicago For Week 11 NFL Betting Grudge

Posted by Aaron . on November 22, 2015 in

The coming game between Broncos and Bears presents an interesting NFL betting opportunity. In their last 13 games after a loss, the Denver Broncos have gone 12-1 straight up and 10-3 against the spread. However, this time they enter that post-loss game on the road against a surprisingly resilient Chicago Bears team, with Brock Osweiler at the helm instead of Peyton Manning. The Broncos opened as three-point favorites, and the over-under total sat at 43. Is it likely that the Broncos can win?

Date/Time: Sunday, November 22nd, 1:00 PM
Location: Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois
NFL Betting Line: Broncos -1
TV: CBS
Radio: 104.3TheFan

Well, here’s a case for Denver. They did start 7-0, with impressive wins over Green Bay and Minnesota as a part of that start. The shakiest win in that group was a miraculous victory in Kansas City, when the Broncos returned a late fumble to secure a victory. However, the Broncos got whipped last week, 29-13, by those same Chiefs – in Denver. Manning was simply awful, throwing four picks while hobbling around on what turned out to be torn plantar fascia, and Osweiler had to come in the game.

 

He didn’t do all that badly, going 14 for 24 and 146 yards with a score, although you could argue that the game was in garbage time that day. However, the Bronco defense wasn’t that bad, only permitting 303 total yards (80 on one late play). Five Bronco turnovers gave the Chiefs a lot of short fields, but the Broncos held them to five field goals – in a game that linebacker DeMarcus Ware ended up missing. So don’t worry about that Bronco “D” – instead, they need to restart what has been a stumbling running game to help Osweiler have a decent day. The Bears rank #26 against the run, so this might be a good week to do that.

Jay Cutler Chicago Bears

However, here’s a case for the Bears. They are 4-5, but they are 4-2 after a bad 0-3 start. Last week, the Bears routed the St. Louis Rams on the road, 37-13. The Rams went up 7-0 on the first drive, and then the Bears rolled the whole rest of the way. They gained 397 yards to the Rams’ 285 (80 on that opening drive). Jay Cutler has stopped his career habit of the late, crippling interception, as he only threw three touchdowns against St. Louis. Tailback Jeremy Langford, playing for the injured Matt Forte, got 182 all-purpose yards from scrimmage and had two touchdowns. The only two losses that the Bears have suffered in their past six contests have been by three points. It looks like John Fox is molding the Bears into his image.

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