NFL Week 1 Expert Betting Picks

Posted by Aaron . on August 5, 2016 in

Are you ready to start putting down your money on your NFL Week 1 picks for the  2016 season? There are some games that are tougher to pick than others, but in this list we’ve figured out some teams that seem like locks to win — at least as close to a lock as we can get you. Remember – home teams are in all caps.

Here’s a Look at the NFL Week 1 Expert Betting Picks

Minnesota (-3) over TENNESSEE

You’ve got the defending NFC North champs heading down south to take on a Tennessee team that has added a proven runner in DeMarco Murray to help take the heat off quarterback sensation Marcus Mariota. However, the Titans still need to solve problems on the offensive line and put together a credible defense. Adrian Peterson returns from a 2015 campaign in which he led the NFL in rushing (1,485 yards), and Teddy Bridgewater enters his third season with all the confidence that comes with polishing off the Green Bay Packers in Week 17 at Lambeau Field.

KANSAS CITY (-7) over San Diego

The Chiefs delivered a 30-point win last year in Week 1 against Houston, and they get a San Diego team that lost a lot of close contests last year and didn’t do much besides let the roster come back for this season a yearolder. Given how long Philip Rivers looked in the tooth last year, this is a decision that could make this a rough season for the Chargers. Alex Smith had one of his best seasons last year at quarterback and seems poised to do it once again.

Green Bay (-3.5) over JACKSONVILLE

Yes, Blake Bortles is one of the more talented young quarterbacks in the NFL. However, he’s not yet ready to win a duel with Aaron Rodgers. Also, Jacksonville’s defense has not reached the point that Green Bay’s has, particularly with a healthy Clay Matthews in the lineup. I like Green Bay to open up the regular season by taking out a lot of the frustrations that had to have bubbled up last season, given the wealth of injuries the team suffered.

DALLAS (-4) over New York Giants

Last year, when the Giants came to town in Week 1, the Cowboys relied on two fourth-quarter touchdown drives (and some awful clock management by the G-men) to eke out a last-second win. Of course, Dez Bryant broke his foot in that game, and Tony Romo would break his collarbone for the first time in Week 2. This year, Romo and Bryant are back, and Ezekiel Elliott is in the backfield, a runner who should prove much more dynamic than Darren McFadden. The Giants show up without Tom Coughlin for the first time in years, so while they have a gifted passing tandem in Eli Manning and Odell Beckham, Jr., they didn’t do anything to shore up a porous passing defense.