Top NFL 2016 Season Week 5 Free Picks

Posted by Daniel Saenz on July 22, 2016 in

When NFL betting point spreads are set way before the season starts, you’re taking risks. You don’t know which quarterbacks will go down with injury, and you don’t know who else is going to get suspended. You don’t know which rookies will explode — and which ones will implode. Even so, though, there are some lines that could play into your favor thanks to what we know about the teams at this point. Let’s take a look at some Week 5 free picks that could bring you some money down the road. Home teams are in caps.

Let’s Review My Top NFL 2016 Season Week 5 Free Picks

Arizona (-6) over SAN FRANCISCO

I keep hearing that Colin Kaepernick is happy to have stayed in the Bay Area. However, he couldn’t fend off Blaine Gabbert last year, and it’s not like Chip Kelly worked magic in Philadelphia. In San Francisco, he adopts a Swiss-cheese defense and an offense that is in disarray. Arizona, along with Seattle, represents the class of the NFC West, so I definitely think they can come into Levi’s Stadium and beat the Niners by more than a touchdown.

Philadelphia (+1) over DETROIT

Both teams have quarterbacks who are reeling with a lack of confidence. However, the Philadelphia Eagles have the pass rush they need to put Matthew Stafford on his back, while the Eagles’ offensive line should give Sam Bradford time to find open receivers. Neither team has much of a running game, but the fact that the Eagles will be able to blanket Golden Tate with double coverage and dare Stafford to throw to the other side while under pressure is the key factor for me with this game.

MINNESOTA (-6) over Houston

The Texans will have solid units on both side of the ball, as the promising Brock Osweiler has come to town to take over the offense, and the defense is really the only reason that Houston won the AFC South last year (that and the bizarre series of injuries that Indianapolis quarterback Andrew Luck). However, the Minnesota Vikings are the defending NFC North champs, and Teddy Bridgewater is a legitimate passing threat with the still-speedy Adrian Peterson in the backfield. I like the Vikings’ defense to corral the Texans’ offense and give the offense enough short fields to get Minnesota the win and the cover.

OAKLAND (-4.5) over San Diego

Let’s see…we have an aging quarterback in Phillip Rivers surrounded by an aging offensive line and a running game that is mediocre at best. We have a Charger passing defense that has a decent rush but gave up a ton of big plays down the field. On the other side we have a young, exciting quarterback (Derek Carr) and wide receiver (Amari Cooper) in front of the crazy energy of the Oakland Coliseum. I’m picking the Raiders to win and cover easily here.