Titans QB Marcus Mariota

Top NFL Week 4 Betting Games

Written by on September 26, 2016

After three weeks, we’ve already had a ton of surprises in the young NFL season. Sports betting in a league like this can produce frustration — but also pleasant surprises. For example, who would have bet that the Philadelphia Eagles would be 3-0, especially after a Week 3 tilt against the Pittsburgh Steelers? Who would have thought that Dallas rookie quarterback Dak Prescott would have gone three weeks without throwing a single interception? Who would have thought that the Carolina Panthers would have an unsightly 1-2 record — while the Minnesota Vikings, playing with last-minute trade acquisition Sam Bradford at quarterback, would sit at 3-0? Let’s take a look at some of the best Week 4 games.

Top NFL Week 4 Betting Games

Tennessee at Houston (-6.5) (Sunday, 1:00pm ET)

Houston has won seven of the last eight matchups straight up in this series, the last two by an aggregate score of 54-12. And those were when the Texans were either trotting out Brian Hoyer or Brandon Weeden at quarterback instead of free agent signee Brock Osweiler. The Texans are also 8-3-1 ATS in divisional games since 2014, and they are also 9-5 ATS in the week after a loss — and they will have had 10 days to think about that embarrassing loss that New England dealt them last Thursday. DeMarco Murray had a strong game in Week 3 for the Titans, but Marcus Mariota showed that he still has a lot of growing to do.

Buffalo at New England (-4) (Sunday, 1:00pm ET)

Buffalo demolished Arizona in a huge Week 3 surprise, so it will not surprise me if this line starts to inch back the other way. The Patriots have lost all three of the quarterbacks on their roster now, so will it be Julian Edelman at quarterback? Or will the Pats sign a free agent like T.J. Yates off his couch? Or will either Garoppolo’s shoulder or Brissett’s thumb recover in time for the game? The fact remains that Bill Belichick still has a solid chance of outcoaching Rex Ryan. Since 2012, New England has gone 5-0 in the week after a Thursday matchup, winning by an average margin of 16 points. Buffalo has won exactly one time in their last 15 games at Gillette Stadium. Even so, this game will feature plenty of fireworks.

Carolina at Atlanta (+3) (Sunday, 1:00pm ET)

Carolina has been the dominant NFC South team for several years now, but since 2014, the teams have split their four meetings, and Atlanta was the only team that beat Carolina in the regular season in 2015. Carolina is just 2-3 straight up in Atlanta since Cam Newton joined the team in 2011. This line opened at Atlanta (-3), and the shift shows the issues that the Falcons have had. This could turn into the game where either team gets their regular season going in the right direction.

Detroit at Chicago (+2) (Sunday, 1:00pm ET)

Chicago could be the league’s worst team right now, so I would lock in this line today. After seeing the Lions storm back and almost beat Green Bay, and after seeing the Cowboys run roughshod over the Bears on Sunday night, I see Matthew Stafford putting up 350+ yards through the air and the Lions turning this game into a track meet.