Top Betting Odds and Picks for 2016 NFL Week 15

Posted by Aaron . on June 4, 2016 in

Headlined by a trip for Tom Brady and the New England Patriots to Mile High where they will be facing a Peyton Manning-less Denver Broncos, along with a hot divisional rivalry—and possibly AFC North title-deciding clash—between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cincinnati Bengals at the at Paul Brown Stadium; you have every reason to look forward to the top betting lines preview and picks for 2016 NFL Week 15 we have prepared for you below.

Top Betting Odds and Picks for 2016 NFL Week 15

 

 

Miami at New York Jets (-5), Saturday, December 17

NFL Week 15 Pick: Miami (+5) for ATS

Interestingly, the Dolphins are one of the few teams that have a decent road record at the MetLife Stadium, something that even football powerhouses like the Patriots and Colts can’t match up to. Besides the 38-20 loss in East Rutherford last season, recent history indicates that the Dolphins have won their three straight previous trips to the MetLife, dating back to 2012. Now, with the improvements made by the Jets over the past two seasons, you’d probably have to put a gun to my head for me to say that the rebuilding Dolphins will be able to pull an outright upset in this encounter. But then again, this is the same Miami team that finished the 2015 season by shocking the NFL betting boards with a 20-10 victory over New England, so don’t completely write them off from pulling another surprise here, like playing well enough to at least cover the spread against the Jets.

Cleveland at Buffalo (-9), Sunday, December 18

NFL Week 15 Picks: Cleveland (-9) for ATS, Buffalo for SU.

The games between Buffalo and Cleveland have been downright ugly, often featuring scores that resemble soccer matches rather than National Football League encounters. I mean, barely 10 years ago (on December 16, 2007 to be exact), Cleveland beat Buffalo by a score of 8-0. This was followed by a pathetic 6-3 win by Cleveland on October 11, 2009 and an ugly 13-6 Buffalo victory when the two teams met a year later, on December 12, 2010. So, in short, be forewarned about expecting a watchable matchup when they meet in Week 15. That being said, Buffalo has been playing better football in recent years, winning 3 of its last 5 vs. Cleveland, including a 26-10 home win over the Browns in their last meeting in 2014. It would therefore not be a stretch to bank on Buffalo to win this clash. I would, however, be cautious about giving Buffalo as many as 9 points, considering Robert Griffin III (the projected new starting QB for the Browns) is talented enough to make a game out of the Bills, which could easily allow the much-maligned Cleveland team to take the points in this game.

Philadelphia (-3) at Baltimore, Sunday, December 18

NFL Week 15 Pick: Baltimore (+3) for SU and ATS

Really!?! What are these Oddsmakers smoking? The current manqué version of Philadelphia being favored in Baltimore’s backyard? That’s plain silly! No way will Joe Flacco and the Ravens–even after their tumultuous 2015 campaign–allow themselves to be beaten by Philly. Give me Baltimore and thorough beatdown of Philadelphia by more than a touchdown, if not double digits.

New England (-1) at Denver, Sunday, December 18
NFL Week 15 Pick: Denver (+1)
Welcome to the Mile High, Tom Brady’s self-made house of horrors! Yes, apparently, Brady and his Super Powers can’t just seem to get into character once the QB steps foot in Denver. Brady’s last 9 visits to Denver (in the regular season and playoffs) have resulted in a 2-7 SU record for him and the Patriots. This includes a loss to a Brock Osweiler-led Denver team in Week 12 last season, followed by a loss to a Peyton Manning-led team in the AFC Championship game in last year’s playoffs. Digging back into the annals of history, New England’s record is even worse, with the Broncos owning a stellar 18-3 SU record against the Pats in their last 21 meetings in Denver. And lest you forget, the Patriots have seemingly gotten into the habit of dropping cheap games towards the end of the season. In 2014, the Pats lost at home in their season-finale against Buffalo. In 2015, they also lost their last two games to the Jets (a 20-26 defeat) and the Dolphins (a 10-20 defeat). So, even with Denver’s quarterback situation currently not looking good, I’d be very wary of testing fate by backing Brady and the Patriots in this encounter.

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (PK), Sunday, December 18

NFL Week 15 Pick: Pittsburgh (PK)

With four wins in their last five trips to the Paul Brown Stadium, including two in the past season (33-20 in the regular season and 18-16 in the playoffs), it makes total sense why the Oddsmakers consider the Steelers as a threat to Cincinnati when the two meet in Ohio for this enthralling divisional rivalry clash. Obviously, both Cincinnati and Pittsburgh are talented teams in their own merit, but the Steelers are a much-proven lot, going by their superior success compared to Cincinnati in the playoffs. So while it is tempting to pick Andy Dalton and Cincinnati’s home advantage, I feel more confident in trusting the battle-tested Steelers to use their overwhelming postseason experience to win this playoff-like encounter in the same way they did in their two meeting last season. After all, Pittsburgh dominance in this series has not just been on the road alone, as the Steelers are impressively 10-3 SU in their last 13 overall meetings the Bengals (with 6 of those wins coming in Cincinnati), backing the visitors as worthy picks over their hosts.