Top NFL Upset Picks Week 2

Posted by Peter Boysen on September 13, 2016 in

One thing that can be frustrating about the parity in the NFL is that you can have your sports betting go all awry from just a few upsets each week. That’s why we put this article together each week — helping you figure out which lines are a little overinflated, week in and week out. One of our biggest picks from Week 1 was taking the Raiders to end up on top of the Saints down in the Big Easy, and thanks to Jack Del Rio’s plucky decision to go for two with time winding down in the fourth quarter, the Raiders (and our pick) ended up on top. Let’s take a look at which games we like to go that way in Week 2. Home teams are in all caps.

Top NFL Upset Picks Week 2

Kansas City (+1.5) over HOUSTON

Yes, the Texans roared back from an early deficit to swat the Chicago Bears in Week 1, 23-14. Meanwhile, the Chiefs dug themselves an even bigger hole at home and needed overtime to eliminate those plucky San Diego Chargers, 33-27. The Texans are a much better team offensively with Brock Osweiler at the helm, but the Bears don’t have anything close to what the Chiefs have on defense, and I look at what Kansas City did early on in their opener as simply shaking off the rust in their opening week. I remember the two beatings that the Chiefs gave the Texans in Week 1 and then again in the wild card game — both games taking place down in Houston — and I don’t see the Texans stopping that workmanlike Chief offense, and I don’t see Houston overcoming that tough pass rush and their ferocious efforts against the run.

Cleveland (+3.5) over BALTIMORE

I know the Philadelphia Eagles (behind an FCS-school rookie at quarterback) ran the Browns out of the Linc on Sunday, posting a 29-10 score, but there were some moments when RGIII looked like his old self, turning some early keepers into big gains and nailing some passes. There were some unfortunate breaks for the Browns, and that terrific Brown “D” didn’t do that well stopping the pass. However, the Raven offense struggled mightily against Buffalo in Week 1, and in front of that home crowd, I like the Browns to come out with more energy. I still think the Ravens are going to take it on a late field goal, but I also like the Browns to cover here.

Tampa Bay (+7.5) over ARIZONA

Let’s see. The Cardinals couldn’t beat a New England team led by their backup quarterback, and they’re still favored to beat Tampa Bay by four touchdowns? It’s not like that opener was a defensive duel for Arizona either, as they gave a Jimmy Garoppolo offense 23 points. After Jameis Winston had a monster game, throwing four touchdown passes over an Atlanta defense that was supposed to be improved, it wouldn’t surprise me to see the Bucs win this straight up — but I definitely see them covering.