Pats Need More Than a TD to Cover the NFL Spread vs Miami
This week, the NFL’s Thursday night affair is going to be a lot more exciting than people likely thought a few weeks ago. The Miami Dolphins head to New England to take on the Patriots. A few weeks ago, the Dolphins were basically dead in the water, but a coaching change brought interim coach Dan Campbell to the helm, and he has more than delivered. Even though the Dolphins are only 3-3, they have won two straight and have a ton of momentum coming into this game.
Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Game and NFL Odds
Date/Time: Tuesday, October 29th, 8:25 PM
Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
TV: CBS|NFL NETWORK
NFL Spread: Patriots -8
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) October 28, 2015
The Patriots will be playing on a short week, and they have already played once on Thursday night this year, as they opened the season at home against Pittsburgh on a Thursday (The game ended in a 21-28 win for the Pats). Before you worry about the Pats playing two Thursday night games in a season for the first time in team history, remember that Tom Brady is 8-0 all time when starting in Thursday games. The Patriots look to move to 7-0 for just the second time in team history, the first since the 2007 team almost went undefeated…winning every game except for Super Bowl XLII.
Since 2001, the Patriots have the best divisional record in the NFL, with a 69-19 (.784) record. The Patriots have scored at least 30 points five games in a row, their longest streak like that since 2011 when they had six in a row with that many points.
This will be the 100th time that the Patriots and Dolphins have met, including three meetings in the postseason. This is their 50th year to play in the same division. The Patriots head to Miami in the last game of the regular season, on January 3, 2016. Miami broke a 10-game winning streak for the Patriots in Week 1 of 2014, coming back from 20-10 down at halftime to win 33-20. The Pats would win in the game in New England, rolling over the Dolphins 41-13.
In the games that have taken place in New England, the Patriots have won 31 of 48 meetings, including 11 of 13 at Gillette Stadium. However, the Patriots have only won 15 times in 49 tries in Miami, including two playoff games. The Dolphins have only won twice at Gillette Stadium, in 2005 and 2008.
- Miami is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami’s last 6 games on the road
- Miami is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing New England
- Miami is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing New England
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 6 games when playing New England
- Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New England
- Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New England
- New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England’s last 5 games
- New England is 14-5-2 ATS in its last 21 games at home
- New England is 2-2-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
- New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
- The total has gone OVER in 13 of New England’s last 18 games at home
- New England is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Miami
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England’s last 6 games when playing Miami
- New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
- New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
Despite the fact that Miami seems to have found their stride, a win in hostile territory would still be considered a significant upset. The Dolphins have 82 points in their last two games combined, and the Patriots struggled to control the Jets’ running game last Sunday. Given the tenacity with which the Patriots appear to be approaching each game this season, though, the Dolphins would be ill advised to take this game lightly.