San Diego Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts Odds Analysis

Posted by Peter Boysen on September 24, 2016 in

Despite the return of Andrew Luck to the field, the Indianapolis Colts have yet to win a game in the 2016 campaign. They put up 35 points in their opener against the Detroit Lions, but the defense surrendered 39 points in the loss. Then they went to Denver and fell, 34-20. The Chargers have gotten off to a surprisingly good start; they would have beaten Kansas City if they hadn’t fallen apart in the second half and gone to overtime, but they followed that up by walloping a young but talented Jacksonville squad, 38-14. Check out all of our NFL betting picks for Week 3.

NFL San Diego at Indianapolis Game Info

When: Sunday, September 25, 2016, 4:25pm ET
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis
Radio: San Diego Chargers Radio Network / Indianapolis Colts Radio Network
Live Stream: NFL Live
NFL Odds: Indianapolis (-2.5), O/U 51.5


Why should you bet on the Chargers?

You might think that losing an offensive star would discourage the Chargers. However, they have lost two (Keenan Allen in Week 1 and Danny Woodhead in Week 2) to torn ACLs for the season — but they still kept plugging away. Against the Jaguars, the San Diego defense amped up the intensity and held Jacksonville to just 69 rushing yards and just two conversions on 11 third downs. Safety Dwight Lowery was the big hero with seven solo tackles for the Bolts. Casey Hayward picked off Blake Bortles twice, and if Andrew Luck suffers in the area of accuracy, the Charger D will make him pay as well.

Why should you put your money on the Colts?

Never count the Colts out, even when they start 0-2. After all, they started that way in 2014 and went 11-3 the rest of the way, winning the AFC South. In 2015, they also started 0-2 and limped to 8-8 (using Matt Hasselbeck at quarterback most of the way) and almost won the division. To be fair, no one has played well against Denver yet this year, as their defense remains the gold standard for stopping offenses in the NFL. If the Charger defense plays intense ball, the Colts could struggle again, but few quarterbacks have Luck’s accuracy down the field, and tailback Frank Gore is a lock for the Hall of Fame.

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

A lot of teams respond positively when a teammate or two goes down on the field, but the effects that the injuries of Allen and Woodhead will have on the San Diego offense will last longer than the adrenaline. I like the Colts to move the ball well against the Chargers, and I don’t like the Chargers to keep up in a track meet. I predict a 31-27 Indy win.