Saints vs Falcons NFL Betting Pick

Posted by Aaron . on December 29, 2015 in

New Orleans heads to the Georgia Dome this Sunday to take on the Atlanta Falcons at 1:00pm Eastern time. The Falcons are coming off a surprise upset of the Carolina Panthers in Week 16 NFL betting, while the Saints polished off a surprisingly good Jacksonville team last week, 38-27. The Falcons are favored to win by 1.5 points, and the over/under total is 52 points.

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Why should you take the Saints (+1.5)?

In their last 19 games against their division rivals, the Saints are 14-5 straight up.This season, they have gone 7-7-1 against the spread, better than the Falcons (6-9). They have shown a penchant for showing up big in games where no one expected them to be competitive, as Drew Brees is trying to reassert himself as one of the elite quarterbacks in the NFL. Also, the Falcons are just 2-9 ATS in their past 11 games.

The Saints head to the Georgia Dome this Sunday to take on the Falcons.

Why should you bet on Atlanta (-1.5)?

The Saints are not nearly as good away from the Superdome. In their last three road games, they have only averaged 14.6 points, and they are only 2-5 straight up on the road this year. When the Saints came to Atlanta last year, they fell 37-34. Also, the Falcons are on a bit of a roll here. They opened the season 5-0 but then suffered a six-game losing streak. They now have won two straight including this whipping of the Panthers. They appear to have figured things out as new head coach Dan Quinn’s first campaign is coming to an end.

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

I like the Falcons to finish the season strong at home with a strong performance on both sides of the ball against a hated division rival. I’m picking the Falcons to win and cover with a final score of 28-17.