Week 9 NFL Lines: Pats Favorite to Beat Redkins by Two TD’s
This week, the New England Patriots (7-0) seek to keep their unbeaten streak alive as they host the Washington Redskins (3-4) in the early Sunday afternoon time slot. This will be the first of two straight games against NFC East foes for the Pats, as they travel to New York to take on the Giants next Sunday. In the meantime, here’s the complete game preview and NFL lines for this match.
Odds: Patriots -14
Can the Shaking Skins Tumble the Mighty Pats?
Since the league realigned in 2002, the Patriots have gone 43-10 (.811) against NFC opposition, the best inter-conference record in the National Football League for any team over that time frame. Also, the Patriots start the month with a 40-15 overall record during November since 2001, for a winning percentage of .727, the league’s best over that time frame as well. If the Patriots beat the Redskins to go 8-0, they will be guaranteed to have a record of at least .500 for the 15th straight year. They would be the only team to go from 2001 through 2015 without any losing seasons.
This will be the tenth meeting between the Redskins and Patriots, but only the second time at Gillette Stadium. The Redskins last appeared there on October 28, 2007, in a game that the Patriots won handily, 52-7. The Redskins and Patriots have also played preseason games 21 times. In the nine regular-season meetings, the Redskins have won six of them. When the Patriots beat Washington 34-27, on December 11, 2011, that was the first time the Pats had ever won a regular season game at Washington.
The Patriots rank #2 in the NFL with 414.6 yards per game, while the Redskins are 26th, with 340.3 yards per game. However, the Patriots’ running game has not contributed much, as the team is ranked #31 overall with 85.3 yards per game. The Pats’ passing attack has more than compensated, though, averaging 329.3 yards per game, #2 in the NFL. Both teams allow about the same number of yards per game (346 for New England, 360 for the Redskins). Both of them struggle to defend against the run, although the Redskins have averaged almost three more minutes of possession per game. The Patriots have terrorized opposing quarterbacks, putting up 26 sacks for 184 yards. The Pats have also scored 28 touchdowns against 16 for the Redskins.
Betting Odds Trends
- Washington is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games
- Washington is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
- Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
- Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
- Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing New England
- New England is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
- New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England’s last 6 games
- New England is 15-5-2 ATS in its last 22 games at home
- New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
- The total has gone OVER in 13 of New England’s last 19 games at home
- New England is 1-3-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
- New England is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
This could easily be a trap game for the Patriots, what with their dominant performance against Miami and their Super Bowl rematch against the New York Giants coming a week away. The Redskins have surprised some other teams, such as the Philadelphia Eagles, with some wins that no one expected. It’s far from likely that the Patriots would fall asleep to that point, but stranger things have happened in the NFL. Pick the Patriots to win this one, and take the over, as I expect this to turn into a track meet relatively quickly.