NFL Betting Tips: Key Betting Trends to Consider in NFL Week 4

Posted by Aaron . on October 3, 2015 in

To maximize profits on your NFL betting picks for Week 4, we’ve decided to list some of the key NFL betting trends related to this week’s games. Hopefully, through these trends, and the other handicapping NFL articles we’ve already prepared for you, you’ll be able to make a well-informed betting decision.

New York Jets at Miami Dolphins

  • The Dolphins are 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23 games against the NY Jets
  • In 2014, the two teams played each other twice, splitting the series. The Jets beat the Dolphins 37-24 in Miami, while the Dolphins beat the Jets 16-13 in NY. In 2013 and 2012, the trend was the same, with both winning on the road each time. If this trend stays true, the NY Jets may be the smart NFL pick this Sunday.


Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts

  • The Jaguars have a 4-15 SU record since 2014 and a league worst 0-9 SU record on the road
  • The Jaguars are 7-11-1 ATS since 2014 and they are 3-5-1 ATS on the road
  • The Colts are 5-0 ATS over the Jaguars in their last 5 straight meetings
  • In the recent years, the Colts have dominated this divisional matchup. For example, in 2014, the Colts swept the series, winning 44-17 in Jacksonville and 23-2 in Indianapolis.
  • The UNDER is 4-1 in the last five meetings between the Jags and Colts


New York Giants at Buffalo Bills

  • The Bills are 5-4 SU and 4-5 ATS at home since 2014 with a 2-point margin of victory
  • The Giants are 4-10 SU in their last 10 games
  • The Bills are 4-2 SU in their 6 six games
  • Interestingly, the Giants won the last meeting between this pair in 2011
  • Both the Bills and Giants are 2-1 in the OVER this season


Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • The Panthers are a solidly 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS this season
  • The Panthers are 4-1 SU over Tampa in the last five meetings between the two teams
  • The two teams were 1-1 ATS in the series in 2014, each of them covering on the road
  • In 2014, the Panthers swept the series against the Bucs, winning 20-14 away and 19-17 at home. Both games scored on the UNDER total, marking the third straight UNDERs for the pair.

Tampa Bay Bucs

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins

  • Philadelphia’s  road win over the Jets in Week 3, allowed the Eagles to claim both the SU and ATS
  • The Redskins are 1-1 SU at home this season, though just 4-6 SU in their last 10 home games since 2014
  • The Eagles are 11-4 SU in the last 15 meetings against the Redskins in Washington
  • The Redskins are 4-2 ATS in their last six overall meetings against Philadelphia
  • In 2014, the two teams split the series, each of them winning at home, with Philly winning 37-34 at home, and the Redskins winning 27-24 in Washington.
  • In 2013, Philadelphia swept the series

Oakland Raiders at Chicago Bears

  • The Bears are 4-1-1 ATS against the Raiders in the last six meetings, though their last ATS win in the series came in 2011
  • The total has gone the OVER in all of the last five Oakland games
  • The total has gone UNDER in three of the last five Bears games

Chicago Bears

Houston Texans at Atlanta Falcons

  • The Texans are 1-2 SU/ATS this season
  • The Falcons are 3-0 SU/ATS this season
  • The Falcons were 3-5 SU at home last season, but are looking very solid at home this season

Atlanta Falcons

Kansas City at Cincinnati Bengals

  • The Chiefs are 1-4 SU in their last five meetings with the Bengals on the road, though their last meeting came way back in 2012
  • The Bengals are 5-3-1 ATS  and 6-2-1 SU at home since 2014
  • The Chiefs are 2-3 SU in their last five road games, including Monday’s loss to the Packers

Andy Dalton

Cleveland Browns at San Diego Chargers

  • The Chargers are 6-3 SU at home since 2014 and 11-6 SU since 2013
  • The Browns are just 4-13 SU on the road since 2013
  • The Chargers have been dominant in the series, going 4-1 SU in the last five home meetings against Cleveland

San Diego Chargers

Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers

  • Since 2014, the Packers are 5-5 SU/ATS on the road, including the playoffs
  • The Packers are 12-7-1 ATS in their last 20 games overall
  • Since 2014, the Niners are 7-11-1 ATS
  • The Niners are 3-6 ATS in their last nine home games since 2014
  • The Niners are just 2-6 SU in their last 8 games

San Francisco 49ers

St. Louis Rams at Arizona Cardinals

  • The Cardinals are impressively 3-0 SU/ATS this season, highlighted by a 25.7-point margin of victory
  • The Cardinals are 9-1 SU at home since 2014
  • The Cardinals swept the series 2-0 in 2014, winning 12-6 on the road and 31-14 at home
  • Since 2014, the Cards have a league-leading 14-6 ATS mark, including a league-leading 8-2 ATS mark at home.
  • The Rams are 8-11 ATS overall in their 19 games
  • The Rams are just 4-13 SU in their last 17 overall meetings against the Cardinals

Arizona Cardinals

Minnesota Vikings at Denver Broncos

  • The Broncos are perfectly 3-0 SU/ATS this season
  • The Vikings are 2-1 SU/ATS this season
  • Since 2012, the Broncos own a league-best 43-13-0 SU record
  • The Broncos are 25-4 SU with a 13.5-point margin of victory (which is an incredible 83% winning ratio) since 2012
  • Since 2013, the Vikings are one of the worst teams on the road with a 2-14-1 SU mark and a 7.2-point margin of defeat
  • The Total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver’s last 9 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota’s last 6 games

Denver Broncos

Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints

  • The Saints are 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS after three rounds of the season
  • With franchise QB Tony Romo out, the Cowboys suffered their first loss of the season in Week 3, a 39-28 home loss to the Falcons
  • The Saints are just 2-7 ATS and 3-6 SU at home in their last nine games
  • The Cowboys were the best team on the road in 2014, finishing with a flawless 8-0 SU mark
  • Combined with this season, the Cowboys are remarkably 10-1 SU in their last 11 road games

New Orleans Saints

Detroit Lions at Seattle Seahawks

  • The Seahawks are 8-1 SU in their last nine home games
  • The Lions are just 1-6 SU in their last seven road games
  • Since 2014, Seattle is 10-1 SU and 7-3-1 ATS  at home with a 12-point margin of victory
  • Detroit has a league-worst 3-7 SU/ ATS record since 2014 with a 5.2-point margin of defeat