Week 7 NFL Betting: Falcons and Titans Looks Like Lock Alert
There’s no other way to say it except that Sunday’s Week 7 matchup between the Atlanta Falcons and the Tennessee Titans looks like a virtual lock alert that all NFL betting buffs should jump all over. Let’s find out why.
Atlanta Falcons vs Tennessee Titans Game Preview
When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 25, 2015
Where: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, Tennessee
NFL Odds: Atlanta -3.5
— Tennessee Titans (@Titans) October 23, 2015
Tennessee Titans (1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS)
The Titans are coming off a humbling 38-10 loss against mediocre Miami in Week 6 while failing to cover the spread as a 2.5-point home favorite. Rookie quarterback Marcus Mariota completed just 21 of 33 passes for 219 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions and suffered a sprained knee when he got a cheap shot from a Dolphins defensive end Oliver Vernon.
“I think it was BS,” Tennessee coach Ken Whisenhunt said of Vernon’s low hit. “It’s not the way you play football.”
Mariota stayed in the game until the last two minutes, but was clearly compromised, unable to step into his throws consistently or move around in the pocket. Tennessee gave up a whopping six sacks in the loss and rushed for just 63 yards in the loss.
Atlanta Falcons (51 SU, 4-2 ATS)
Atlanta was on the wrong end of a surprising 31-21 loss against NFC South division rival New Orleans in Week 6 while failing to cover the spread as a 3-point road favorite. Matt Ryan completed 30 of 44 passes for 295 yards and two touchdowns but was sacked three times in the second half by Saints lineman Cameron Jordan, not to mention the fact that the Falcons consistently shot themselves in the foot by committing an insane five fumbles while losing three.
“We knew that it would be a tough fight, and it certainly was,” said Atlanta coach Dan Quinn. “It came down to protecting the football. To finish minus-3 was hard on us. They had a blocked punt. The turnovers really told the story of the game. It was hard to overcome those mistakes.”
Game Analysis: Let me get right to the point by saying that there’s no way the Atlanta Falcons fail to win this game and cover the spread against an Atlanta Falcons team that is overmatched on both sides of the ball.
I’m fully expecting Matt Ryan and Julio Jones to hook up at least eight times for a minimum of one touchdown while surprisingly-gifted running back Devonta Freeman continues his inspiring run at the Offensive Rookie of the Year award. The Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an SU loss and an identical 4-1 ATS in their last five road games overall.
On the other hand, the Titans are just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game and a dismal 7-20-2 ATS in their last 29 home games overall. While the Falcons are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last five meetings against the Titans, the road team in this rivalry is 3-1-1 ATS in the last five matchups.
The Falcons will win this game and cover the spread in a matchup that looks like a virtual lock from where I’m sitting and apparently, a humongous 82 percent of the betting public agrees!
My Pick: Atlanta 31 Tennessee 17