Early 2016 AFC West NFL Betting Prediction

Posted by Aaron . on May 12, 2016 in

If there’s one thing you can be certain about the AFC West this season, it’s the fact that the Denver Broncos, the defending Super Bowl champs, won’t be having it easy in their quest to record a sixth successive divisional title. The Kansas City Chiefs, as was evidenced last season, are a team on the rise, while the Oakland Raiders are projected as the team to watch in the entire NFL this year, thanks to the stellar play of Quarterback Derek Carr who will be entering his third year in the league and a boatload of talent to work with from a refreshing offseason.

Will the Broncos manage to beat the tough NFL odds against them, or will the surging duo of Kansas City and Oakland, along with the lively San Diego Chargers, upset the NFL lines? Read on as we give our take on the updated odds to win the 2016 AFC West title.

Early 2016 AFC West NFL Betting Prediction

 

 

Denver Broncos (+165 Odds to Win AFC West)

Predicted Finish: 10-6, OVER 9 in Season Totals

To address the loss of QBs Peyton Manning and Brock Osweiler, the Broncos traded for Mark Sanchez and moved up the 2016 draft to nab Paxton Lynch, which gives the Denver a bit of some hope in the offense. It, however, remains to be seen if this offense will be able to gel in time for the new season. Denver’s defense will still be a hell-of-a-unit and that bodes well for the team, but with questions lingering in Denver’s offense that was anemic even in the time of Manning and Osweiler, I wouldn’t be too trusting about their odds to win the AFC West crown.

Kansas City Chiefs (+175)

Predicted Finish: 11-5, OVER 9.5 in Season Totals

Let’s make one thing clear, I don’t expect the Chiefs to win 10 straight games like they did last season. I do, however, expect them to have a better start than going 1-5 in their first 6 games of the season. This will sort of balance their wins and losses, leading to more-or-less the same finish like last year. Alex Smith is one of the better passers in this division and his run-heavy offense proved worth its salt last season. Meanwhile the KC defense is stacked up from top to bottom, led by excellent edge rushers in Tamba Hali and Justin Houston. Add that to the experience of coach Andy Reid, who’s taken this team to two postseason appearances in the last three seasons, it goes without saying that this could be the year for the in-momentum Chiefs to unseat Denver from the top of the AFC West.

Oakland Raiders (+275)

Predicted Finish: 8-8, PUSH 8 in Season Totals

Here comes the Raiders, and they seemingly mean big business this year! Quarterback Carr hasn’t had much help in his O-line, but he’s taken a step forward in each of his past two seasons since being drafted, so it wouldn’t be a surprise if that trend continues this year. I mean, this is a team that loaded up on upgrades in the secondary this offseason, adding the likes of Reggie Nelson, Karl Joseph, Sean Smith and his majesty Khalil Mack. Meanwhile, Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree guarantee some dependable receivers for Carr to exploit. After going 7-9 in head coach Jack Del Rio’s first year with the team, the Raiders definitely have a legitimate chance of crashing above 8 wins, possibly with an end to the playoff drought. But then again, with Denver and Kansas City being the silent flag-bearers of this division, be careful about over-estimating Oakland’s odds next season.

San Diego Chargers (+800)

Predicted Finish: 6-9, UNDER 7 in Season Totals

It’s not that the Chargers are a bad team; it is just that everyone else in this division is way better than them. Just about the only working in San Diego’s favor is that Quarterback Philip Rivers can throw the damn pigskin—he tallied a little under 4,800 passing yards last season. But with a questionable running game and a defense that hasn’t addressed most of its issues, this team will improve from last season’s 4-12 mark, but not by a big margin.