Early 2016 AFC South NFL Betting Prediction

Posted by Aaron . on May 13, 2016 in

The AFC South has been among the worst-performing divisions in the NFL for quite some time now. But it would be unfair to label last season’s showing as a total bust. The Houston Texans played some pretty decent football and reached the playoffs (despite lacking a reliable QB); the injury-bugged Indianapolis Colts notched an 8-8 record (including a commendable 6-3 mark without injured starting QB Andrew Luck); the Tennessee Titans and rookie QB Marcus Mariota hanged with the big boys quite decently and showed that the franchise QB could be a force to reckon with in the near future; and the Jacksonville Jaguars showed ‘marked’ improvement with their 5-11 tally last year.

Can the AFC South become one of the better divisions in the league with more improvements this year, barring any calamitous injuries? Will the Texans repeat as divisional champs or will the return of a healthy Luck in Indy restore parity at the helm of the division? And what about the Titans and Jaguars; can either or both of them move anywhere close to the .500 mark or even exceed NFL odds expectations with winning records? Let’s find out about all that in the early 2016 AFC South NFL betting analysis and predictions prepared for you below.

Early 2016 AFC South NFL Betting Prediction

 

 

Indianapolis Colts (+125 Odds to win AFC South)

Predicted Finish: 10-6, OVER 9.5 in Season Totals

Last season wasn’t the best for the Colts, who were favored to win the division but fell just short of the winning mark, largely due to injuries. A healthy Andrew Luck should see this team back to its humming offense, with more than the 8 wins they posted last season. That said, the Colts will need to get their running game is shape and tighten their defense if they are to fend off the competition in this division.

Houston Texans (+200)

Predicted Finish: 9-7, OVER 8.5 in Season Totals

Houston’s success over the past two seasons has been predicated on the strength of their J.J. Watt-led defense. Last year, for example, the Texans ranked third-best in the league in defense, which greatly contributed towards their second straight 9-win season and an AFC South title. This year, things look to be even better, as Houston’s defense still looks solid, while the offense has some stellar offseason additions, including Brock Osweiler, Lamar Miller, Braxton Miller and Will Fuller, giving Bill O’Brien some quality talent to work with in the attack. With that, the Texans should be good for at least 9 wins once again, if not reach the double-digit win mark.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+300)

Predicted Finish: 7-9, UNDER 7.5 in Season Totals

If the offseason rankings are anything to go by, then the Jaguars could see some solid improvements this season. Third-year QB Blake Bortles is on the ascendancy and he has some quality offensive weapons to work with, including Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns. Meanwhile, their 24th-ranked defense from last year will be slightly better with the additions of players like Jalen Ramsey and Myles Jack. Even so, Bortles is too turnover-prone, so trusting him for a big season is risky. In addition, the Jags haven’t made the playoffs or posted a winning season since 2007, and with the expected tough competition in this division, improving from their 5-win season last year to 8 or more wins this year doesn’t look that likely.

Tennessee Titans (+1000)

Predicted Finish: 6-10, OVER 5.5 in Season Totals

As if it isn’t enough that Marcus Mariota proved that he is a true journeyman with his dual-threat QB skills last year, Tennessee now has another Heisman Trophy winner in terrific Alabama running back Derrick Henry to carry the chains in the offense. Added to former league rushing champion and proven workhorse DeMarco Murray, the Titans have the outlook of a scarily efficient run-heavy team this year. If you combine that with the decent defensive additions made to protect Mariota in the O-line and keep things tighter in the D-line, you get a Tennessee team that has a legitimate chance to double up the three wins they posted last season.