Early 2016 AFC East NFL Betting Prediction

Posted by Aaron . on May 12, 2016 in

Even with Tom Brady likely to miss the first four games of the upcoming season, the scape of the 2016 AFC East NFL lines remain pretty much the same, with the New England Patriots still heavily favored in the betting lines to win the divisional title for the eighth straight year. For the remaining AFC East teams—the Miami Dolphins, the Buffalo Bills and the New York Jets—it’s pretty much the same old story; nothing about their success or failure can be guaranteed. Here is a quick look at what you can expect from this division in the new season.

Early 2016 AFC East NFL Betting Prediction

 

 

New England Patriots (-200 Odds to Win AFC East)

Predicted Finish: 12-4, OVER 10.5 in Season Totals

Since 2001 when Tom Brady assumed a full starting QB role for Patriots, the team has won the AFC East title all but two times (In 2002 and 2008), including the last eight straight years. Barring any major calamity, this year’s divisional title should thus go to the Pats once again, considering the core of the team is still intact and the Pats made a number of key offseason moves to improve their challenges on the defensive side of the ball. And as far as the early-season four-week suspension is concerned, the Pats will be playing three of their first four games at home, including two against teams that finished .500 or worse last year, so Brady’s won’t be direly missed. Then, of course, Brady’s lawyers can still get him off the hook like they did last year, making things even more difficult for New England’s opponents right from Week 1.

New York Jets (+475)

Predicted Finish: 9-7, OVER 8 in Season Totals

The quarterback issue in New York is still up in the air as of the time of this writing, with last year’s starter Ryan Fitzpatrick, former starter Geno Smith, 2015 rookie Bryce Petty and 2016 rookie Christian Hackenberg all vying for the job. If the Jets can reach an agreement with Fitzpatrick, who led them to a solid 10-6 season last year, there’s definitely hope for another successful year. And even if Ryan isn’t available, Smith, Petty and Hackenberg have enough talent between them to lead the team to at least a plus .500 finish, with the shrewd offseason moves made by the Jets– like stealing Ryan Clady and Matt Forte– also keeping New York above average in the division.

Buffalo Bills (+475)

Predicted Finish: 8-8, PUSH 8 in Season Totals

The Bills were a formidable defensive unit last year and that looks to stay the same in the upcoming season, thanks to a solid offseason recruitment that included the drafting Shaq Lawson and Reggie Ragland, who look like potential starters this year. Offensively, Tyrod Taylor proved to be a capable dual-threat QB in his first season as a main starter while EJ Manuel and Cardale Jones can be serviceable backups, offering hope for Buffalo fans. Still, with less-than-dependable offensive weapons (outside Sammy Watkins), it’s hard to see the Bills making a huge leap—if any—from last year’s performance.

Miami Dolphins (+900)

Predicted Finish: 8-8, OVER 7 in Season Totals

Ryan Tannehill was a wobbly QB last year and so much of Miami’s performance this year will depend on his ability to take around of the bevy of talent around him. From DeVante Parker to Kenny Stills, Jarvis Landry, Jordan Cameron and Jay Ajayi, Tannehill has more than enough talent to have a big year under highly-heralded coach Adam Gase. Obviously, Miami has disappointed us severally in the past, so I’d recommend cautious optimism here. But from the early looks of things, I expect Miami to do way better than the 6-10 overall mark (1-5 in AFC East) from last year.