Denver Broncos Top 2016 NFL Spreads and Best Picks Week 1-16

Posted by Aaron . on June 16, 2016 in

Having scoured through the NFL betting point spreads released for every 2016 game from Week 1-6, as recently released by Cantor Technology, here are some of my first-instinct leans and online betting picks for the top Denver Broncos spreads.

Denver Broncos Top 2016 NFL Spreads and Best Picks Week 1-16

  • Note: The Broncos had the best SU mark in the AFC West (12-4), but their 8-8 ATS mark coincidentally tied that of all their divisional opponents, with Kansas City, Oakland and San Diego all spotting replica 8-8 ATS marks.

 

 

Denver Broncos 2016 Point Spread Week 1-16

  • Week 1: Carolina Panthers at Denver (-1.5, 43.5)
  • Week 2: Indianapolis Colts at Denver (-5)
  • Week 3: Denver at Cincinnati Bengals (-3)
  • Week 4: Denver (-2.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Week 5: Atlanta Falcons at Denver (-6.5)
  • Week 6: Denver (-3) at San Diego Chargers
  • Week 7: Houston Texans at Denver (-6.5)
  • Week 8: San Diego Chargers at Denver (-7)
  • Week 9: Denver (-1) at Oakland Raiders
  • Week 10: Denver (-1) at New Orleans Saints
  • Week 11: BYE
  • Week 12: Kansas City Chiefs at Denver (-3)
  • Week 13: Denver (-3.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars
  • Week 14: Denver (-5.5) at Tennessee Titans
  • Week 15: New England Patriots (-1) at Denver
  • Week 16: Denver at Kansas City Chiefs (-1.5)

Best Denver Point Spread NFL Picks Week 1-16

Week 2: Indianapolis Colts at Denver (-5)

NFL ATS Pick: Indianapolis (+5)

The Mile High has been a fortress as good as any for the Broncos over the past couple of seasons, but that home-field advantage has seemingly not worked that well for them against Indianapolis. As one of the longest standing stories of dominance amongst two elite teams in recent history, the Colts have won an impressive 8 of their last 9 overall games against Denver, a record that includes 3 wins in their last 4 meetings at Mile High. With major questions regarding Denver’s 2016 offense and the Broncos’ record-breaking defense likely to suffer some slight regression from the free agent departures of Malik Jackson and Danny Trevathan; I’d expect Indianapolis to take advantage of such challenges in this early-season matchup that will most likely find Denver ‘unprepared’, especially in regards to its boom-or-bust QBs (Mark Sanchez and rookie Paxton Lynch). I am not saying the Colts will win this game, and neither am I ruling out an upset by the visitors; I’m saying Indy should be good-enough to at least claim the points.

Week 6: Denver (-3) at San Diego Chargers

NFL ATS Pick: Denver (-3)

Again, history is not all you need to consider when handicapping a game, but when you have owned a divisional opponent for as many as five years, then it means there’s some formula that is working greatly in your favor. That’s the kind of history San Diego will be dealing with when it goes against longtime divisional foes Denver, who have won 9 of their last 10 overall straight meetings against the Chargers dating back to November 2011, including all of their last five trips to the Qualcomm Stadium. History aside, San Diego has been on a downward spiral over the last couple of seasons, while Denver (even with mega offensive concerns last year) not only won the AFC West division, but also finished with the best mark in the AFC Conference and went on to beat the best of the best to win Super Bowl 50. Therefore, even with the impending question marks about Sanchez and Lynch as possible starters in the upcoming season, you are better off trusting the battle-tested Broncos for the win and points in this game rather than banking on the oft-sputtering Chargers. Look out for a more-or-less similar outcome when the Broncos host the Chargers in Week 8.

Week 15: New England Patriots (-1) at Denver

NFL ATS Pick: Denver (+1)

Denver has been a widely-known kryptonite for Tom Brady, with the New England quarterback losing 7 of his last 9 trips to Mile High. Even when Denver started the largely-inexperienced Brock Osweiler at QB in Week 12 last season, the Broncos still won the game. This was, of course, followed by another win by the Broncos in that famous last meeting between Peyton Manning and Brady in the 2016 AFC Championship game. So, although I would never advocate on betting against Brady, especially against a Denver team that has an offense that needs to prove its worth; I strongly believe that the Broncos (18-3 SU in their last 21 meetings against New England in Mile High) will somehow find a way to put away the Patriots, as they’ve consistently done over the past two or so decades. Plus, this game is likely to find when coach Gary Kubiak has already figured out the best starting QB for his offense, with Denver’s No. 1 defense taking care of everything else.

Week 16: Denver at Kansas City Chiefs (-1.5)

NFL ATS Pick: Kansas City (-1.5)

Like the Chargers, the Chiefs have been on the end of a rough patch against divisional foes Denver, losing 8 of their last 10 overall meetings against the Broncos. But unlike the Chargers who don’t appear to be getting better, the Chiefs have seemingly figured out how to get their act together. This was evident last year as the Chiefs fought spiritedly in a heartbreaking 31-24 loss at the Arrowhead Stadium on September 19th, before avenging that defeat in an emphatic 29-13 win at Mile High in the return fixture on November 15th. Based on that, along with the proven strength of the Alex Smith-led offense and an efficient KC defense that allowed the third-fewest points per game in the league last year (17.9 PPG), I am willing to recommend the Chiefs to get the job done in this home fixture.