NFL Betting: Saints Try to Nab First Win vs Banged-Up Cowboys!

Posted by Aaron . on October 2, 2015 in

The New Orleans Saints haven’t looked very good at all in losing all three of their games this season while getting future Hall of Fame quarterback Drew Brees injured by not protecting their superstar signal-caller. Now, New Orleans will look to nab its first win of the season when they host a banged-up Dallas Cowboys team that lost its own starting quarterback almost two weeks ago. Now, let’s find out which team in going to cover the spread in this NFC pairing.

Dallas at New Orleans Game Information

When:8:30 PM ET, Sunday, October 4, 2015
Where: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana
NFL Odds: New Orleans -4.5
Over/Under: 46.5
Dallas Cowboys (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS)
Dallas is coming off a 39-28 loss to Atlanta in Week 3 that saw backup quarterback Brandon Weeden play solid football by completing 22 of 26 passes for 232 yards with one interception. The good news is that running back Joseph Randle had a monster game for the Boys by rushing for 87 yards and three touchdowns on just 14 carries. The bad news is that Dallas is ranked 20th in points allowed (25.0 ppg) and 15th in rushing.
Dallas Cowboys
New Orleans Saints (0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS)
The first thing you need to know about the Saints heading into this contest is that Drew Brees is questionable to play Sunday due to a bruised rotator cuff, which is why a lot o sportsbooks don’t have odds posted for this contest. New Orleans is coming of a hard-fought 27-22 Week 3 loss against Carolina, though they managed to cover the spread as a 10-point underdog.
If Brees doesn’t go in this contest, New Orleans will turn to backup Luke McCown for the second straight game. The veteran performed well against Carolina last week by completing a blistering 31 of 38 passes for 310 yards with one pick. More importantly however, is the fact that New Orleans is ranked just 20th in scoring (20.0 ppg) and an even more depressing 27th in points allowed (28.0 ppg).
New Orleans Saints NFL
Game Analysis: While the Dallas Cowboys have won 10 of their last 11 road games outright, while also going 5-0 ATS in its last five road games, I really like New Orleans to get the outright home win in this contest.

Betting Trends

  • Dallas is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
  • Dallas is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
  • Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Dallas is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
  • New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
  • New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans’s last 6 games
  • New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The Saints are in total ‘desperation mode’ and Dallas is starting a mediocre backup in Brandon Weeden. New Orleans may be just 1-4 ATS in its last five games, but I say the only winless team in the NFC South gets the outright win at home.
The Pick: New Orleans 27 Dallas 21