Our Conference Championship Parlay Betting Picks

Posted by Aaron . on January 21, 2016 in

This coming Sunday features the two conference championship games in the NFL playoffs. The Arizona Cardinals will be in Charlotte to take on the Carolina Panthers, and the New England Patriots head west to take on the Denver Broncos. Let’s take a look at some parlay picks that you can use with your NFL betting.

Here are my NFL conference championship parlay picks:

Arizona (+3) SU and ATS
New England (-3.5) SU and ATS

To watch the games online, click here.

Betting on Arizona vs Carolina (6:40pm Eastern time, Fox)

Carolina looked terrific on Sunday — at least during the first half. Remember that Legion of Boom that you heard about all year? That Seattle “D” gave up 31 points in just the first half (to be fair, there was a pick-six in there, so it wasn’t all the defense giving up points. And how about Russell Wilson’s talent running the offense? They didn’t score a single point in that first half.

Then, after the teams went into the locker room, it was like the Carolina starters cracked open the Veuve Clicquot and started chugging champagne. By the time they came out for the second half, it looked like they had checked out. Seattle put up two quick touchdowns. The Panther defense stiffened a little bit, but just enough to “hold” the Seahawks to 24 second-half points. And that offense? Nowhere to be found. So yes, Carolina won, but just barely, 31-24.

The Arizona Cardinals did struggle to put away the Green Bay Packers, but they are far from the first team to have a hard time knocking out a team led by Aaron Rodgers. On the road this season, they were 7-1, tied with Carolina for the best record away from home. Carson Palmer did throw a couple of costly picks down the stretch against Green Bay, and he will need to show a little more discipline in his decision-making in the conference championship. However, they did have the #5 defense in the NFL (in terms of yards allowed), and now that Palmer has his first playoff win under his belt, I see him playing with a lot more confidence from start to finish in Carolina. I’m picking the Cards to cover that spread and to win outright.

Betting on New England vs Denver (3:05pm Eastern time, CBS)

New England has a good chance of winning their conference game.

When you think about Peyton Manning, you think about a quarterback zipping up and down the field with his offense, completing slants and outs and bubble screens while frustrating the other team’s defensive coordinator. This year — not so much. Manning has evolved into a bit of a game manager, relying on a strong running game and an ironclad defense to help him win games. Down the stretch against Pittsburgh, that defense came up huge, stripping the ball from Fitzgerald Toussaint as the Steelers looked ready to drive down for another field goal or a touchdown. Manning did complete some big passes in the Broncos’ last couple of drives, but it looked far from easy.

The Patriots, on the other hand, looked to be having an easy time carving up the Kansas City Chiefs’ defense in their divisional playoff game. The Chiefs had only permitted 11.6 points per game in their last 11 contests, but Tom Brady and the quick passing game had no problem doing whatever they wanted. The Broncos’ defense ranks statistically higher than the Chiefs’, which means that Tom Brady will be challenged this week, but I still like the Pats to make it to Super Bowl 50, winning both SU and ATS.