Complete Expert NFL Betting Week 3 Guide

Posted by Daniel Saenz on July 13, 2016 in

When the third week of the 2016 NFL season rolls around, New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady will be halfway through that four-game suspension for what seems like the ancient contretemps known as DeflateGate and we will probably know if Dez Bryant’s foot is really healed. Let’s take a look at the point spreads for Week 3, along with our suggestions for some early NFL odds action.

Take A Closer Look at my Complete Expert Betting NFL Week 3 Guide

Thursday, September 22

  • Houston at New England (-8)

Sunday, September 25

  • Arizona (-2.5) at Buffalo
  • Oakland (-2.5) at Tennessee
  • Washington at N.Y. Giants (-3)
  • Cleveland at Miami (-7)
  • Baltimore at Jacksonville (PK)
  • Detroit at Green Bay (-8.5)
  • Denver at Cincinnati (-3)
  • Minnesota at Carolina (-5.5)
  • Los Angeles at Tampa Bay (-1)
  • San Francisco at Seattle (-14)
  • N.Y. Jets at Kansas City (-3.5)
  • San Diego at Indianapolis (-5.5)
  • Pittsburgh (-3) at Philadelphia
  • Chicago at Dallas (-6)

Monday, September 26

  • Atlanta at New Orleans (-1.5)

My Expert Week 3 Pick & Prediction

Texans @ Patriots

Now let’s look at some of the more favorable matchups. Houston at New England is an interesting case. The Texans have a solid defense, and they have a quarterback in Brock Osweiler who has experience in overcoming the Patriots. The Texans don’t have the same caliber of defense that Osweiler’s Broncos had last year, but that eight-point line seems a little large. I like Osweiler’s chances to find some more holes in that Patriot secondary and keep this came close. I like Houston to cover.

Lions @ Packers

What about Detroit at Green Bay? The Packers are 8.5-point favorites at home, which is another sizable spread. However, I think Detroit is going to turn into the whipping post of the NFC North this season, with Chicago improving and Minnesota and Green Bay fighting it out for the division title. Detroit has lost Calvin Johnson at wide receiver, which will give Golden Tate the opposition’s best cornerback. I like the Pack to take out some of their frustrations on Detroit (as well as gaining revenge for the home loss to Detroit last year). I like Green Bay to win and cover.

Broncos @ Bengals

Then there is Denver at Cincinnati. The Broncos have inexplicably let Brock Osweiler go in free agency and replaced the venerable Peyton Manning with one Mark Sanchez. Yes, Sanchez took the New York Jets to the AFC Championship, but that seems about 25 years ago now. The Sanchez we’ve come to know is the “butt fumble” signal caller who threw away the Eagles’ chances at a division title two seasons ago. I see the Bengals coming out in full “screw you” mode in this one and throwing the kitchen sink at Sanchez. I like the Bengals to win and cover.

49ers @ Seahawks

Let’s wrap up with San Francisco at Seattle. A fourteen-point line! This is almost unheard of in the NFL. But the Niners have a new coach in Chip Kelly and a ridiculous quarterback in Blaine Gabbert. They’re going up against that Legion of Boom defense and an offense that, even without Marshawn Lynch, will cause problems for San Francisco. This is going to be an ugly day for Niner fans. I like the Seahawks to win and cover.