Carolina at Atlanta Week 4 Betting Pick & Odds

Posted by Peter Boysen on September 29, 2016 in

When the Carolina Panthers came to the Georgia Dome last year in Week 16, they had a 14-0 record — but then they fell to the Falcons, 20-17. Including that loss, they followed that 14-0 run with a 4-3 stretch — but they have only won one of their last four games, falling in the Super Bowl and then in Weeks 1 and 3 this year. Minnesota came to Carolina and beat the Panthers, 22-10, last week, while the Falcons showed their offensive promise by outscoring the New Orleans Saints, 45-32. Take a look at all of our Week 4 NFL odds.

Carolina at Atlanta Week 4 Betting Pick & Odds

When: Sunday, October 2, 2016, 1:00pm ET
Where: Georgia Dome, Atlanta
TV: FOX
Radio: Carolina / Atlanta
Live Stream: NFL Live
NFL Odds: Carolina (-3), O/U 46

Why should you bet on the Panthers?

The Atlanta defense doesn’t have nearly as much starch in it as the Vikings’ unit does, so Cam Newton should have a lot more room to operate. Newton threw three picks and no touchdowns. That makes two unproductive weeks so far this season for Newton, who was also kept in check by the Denver defense in the season opener. Through three games, he already has five interceptions to go with his five touchdown passes. Carolina also relies on Cameron Artis-Payne, running in relief of the injured Jonathan Stewart.

The defense remains the stronger unit for the Panthers. They permitted Minnesota just 171 passing yards and 58 rushing yards, with Luke Kuechly running all over the place to complete 13 tackles, moving him into a tie for the NFL lead at 34 on the young season. Even so, the Panthers permit 23.3 points per game so far this year, good for #18 in the league.

Why should you put your money on the Falcons?

This Atlanta offense resembles the unit that opened the 2015 campaign on a 5-0 tear. Matt Ryan went 20 for 30 for 240 yards and a pair of scores in the team’s win over New Orleans. In three games, Ryan has seven touchdown passes and just a single interception. However, the unheralded hero in the Falcon attack was tailback Devonta Freeman, who carried the ball just 14 times for an eye-popping 152 yards. Tom Coleman got some carries as well,, picking up 42 yards and scoring three times. The Falcon O is tops in the NFL in points, putting up 34.7 points per week.

The issue with Atlanta is defense. Atlanta could not keep Drew Brees from finding receivers down the field last week, and he picked up 376 passing yards. One standout was rookie linebacker Deion Jones, who deflected a pair of passes and picked off another, and he moved to 25 tackles through the first three games. The Falcons are near the bottom overall in defense, though, ranking #29 with 30.3 points permitted per game.

My Betting Pick and Final Score Prediction

The Panthers still look like they are in a Super Bowl funk, and their results show it. Atlanta is flying high and get this divisional game at home. I’m predicting a 27-23 Falcon victory.