Buffalo at Miami Week 7 Betting Pick & Prediction

Posted by Peter Boysen on October 19, 2016 in

The Buffalo Bills started the season 0-2 but have run off an impressive four-game winning streak, and they put this on the line against Miami on Sunday afternoon. They have knocked off Arizona, New England, Los Angeles and San Francisco on this streak, and they meet a Dolphin team that sits at 2-4, thanks to a 30-15 upset win over the Pittsburgh Steelers last weekend. Take a look at all of our NFL odds for this week’s action.

Buffalo at Miami Week 7 Betting Pick & Prediction

When: Sunday, October 23, 2016, 1:00pm ET
Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami
Radio: Buffalo / Miami
Live Stream: NFL Live
NFL Odds: Buffalo (-2.5), O/U 44

Why should you bet on the Bills?

With Buffalo, the conversation begins with defense. They rank #1 in the NFL in red zone defense, holding opponents to touchdowns just a third of the time they make it inside the 20, including an 0-for-2 performance by the 49ers last weekend, who settled for a pair of field goals. Buffalo has also allowed only three passing touchdowns, which ties them with four other squads atop the league. They have forced 12 turnovers so far (tied for tops in the NFL), and they have a +8 turnover margin that ranks second. When it comes to sacks, they rank #2 in the league with 20 (led by Lorenzo Alexander, who is tops in the NFL individually with 8). They force opponents to go three-and-out 27 percent of the time; the league average is closer to 21 percent. So the Dolphins may have a hard time just getting started.

Why should you put your money on the Dolphins?

The Miami Dolphins did something last week that other teams had struggled to do so far this season — keep the Pittsburgh offense in check. Tennessee did put up 30 on the Dolphins in Week 5, but Miami held firm against Big Ben. The Dolphins did lose Pro Bowl safety Reshad Jones with a rotator cuff tear on Sunday; he is expected to miss the rest of the regular season. Michael Thomas has some huge shoes to fill to keep the Dolphin defense at its best against a Buffalo team that likes to grind down the opposition behind some sturdy downhill running. As long as the Dolphins can keep that trend going, they have a chance to knock off the Bills.

My Betting Pick and Final Score Prediction

Buffalo fired their offensive coordinator in Week 2, and they haven’t lost a game since. They impress on both sides of the ball, while Miami still needs that spark to help them move the ball. I like Buffalo to go on the road and pick up a win, with a final of 20-17.