Dallas at Buffalo NFL Betting Lines & Preview

Posted by Aaron . on December 25, 2015 in

Two teams that are out of the playoff picture square off this Sunday at noon, as the Dallas Cowboys head north to Ralph Wilson Stadium to take on the Buffalo bills. The Cowboys (4-10) will be starting their fourth quarterback of the season, in Kellen Moore. The Bills (6-8) had big hopes for the year but are looking at another year outside the postseason. The Bills are favored by 5.5 points, and the over/under total is 43 points. Click here for MyBookie’s NFL betting lines.

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Why should you choose the Bills (-5.5)?

The Bills only average 14.4 points per game this year. However, Tyrod Taylor has been dynamic when he has been the starter, throwing for 20 touchdowns (with only five picks) and running for three more. LeSean McCoy earned a Pro Bowl bid, leading the team with 895 yards and three scores. Look for McCoy to look for holes against a Cowboys team that has been beaten by the run the last couple of weeks. The Cowboys simply can’t score without Tony Romo at the helm, having failed to get to 20 points without Romo since Brandon Weeden’s Week 3 effort against the Atlanta Falcons.

Buffalo Bills will face Dallas

Why should you take Dallas (+5.5)?

Yes, the Cowboys have lost a ton of games this season. However, they have lost the vast majority of them late in the fourth quarter, as opposing teams have used their final drives to take the lead and win. Kellen Moore did throw three picks last week (and this is a team with an awful -18 turnover ratio), but he looked confident, and the team’s offensive strength is its rushing game, led by Darren McFadden and his 898 yards on the ground. The defense is only allowing 23.1 points per game, and Demarcus Lawrence has an impressive seven sacks on the season.

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

These teams don’t play very often, so betting trends from their series aren’t that helpful. However, the Cowboys are 3-1-1 against the spread in games coming after games when they didn’t cover the spread. In their last 16 road games, they are 11-5 against the spread. Given the Bills’ defensive strengths, though, I don’t see the Cowboys winning this one. I like the Bills to win 23-13 and cover that spread.