NFL Betting: Texans v Chiefs Betting Analysis

Posted by Derrick Harper on September 9, 2020 in

With all that has gone on in the world over the past few months, it seems like years ago that the Kansas City Chiefs hoisted the Lombardi Trophy on Feb. 2. Seven months and a few days later, the NFL will return, as on Thursday night, the Kansas City Chiefs will host the Houston Texans as the 2020 NFL season kicks off. Let’s take a closer look at this match so you can make your bets against their NFL odds. 

NFL: Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview

After their Super Bowl victory, the Chiefs made sure to keep a good thing going, as they lost very few key pieces of last year’s championship team. Kansas City will start the 2020 season with 17 of 22 starters returning. 

Despite Damien Williams and Laurent Duvernay-Tardif opting out due to COVID-19, two starters leaving via free agency, and Bashaud Breeland suspended for the first four games, the Chiefs still have the main core of last year’s Super Bowl roster returning, including a defense that was the top defense in the league over the last nine weeks of the 2019 season. 

Patrick Mahomes will lead the high-powered Kansas City offense. After signing a long-term contract extension, we look for great things from him. 

With Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, Mecole Hardman and exciting rookie first-round draft pick Clyde Edwards-Helaire replacing Williams in the backfield, the Chiefs should still be a force in the AFC. 

After blowing a 24-point lead to the Chiefs in the AFC playoffs, things didn’t get much better for the Texans in the offseason. Bill O’Brien traded DeAndre Hopkins to the Cardinals and was heavily chastised for this move. 

Texans fans and media were very unhappy with O’Brien for not only trading Hopkins, but what they received in return, as they got back a pair of draft picks and running back David Johnson for Hopkins. 

The Texans will look for Johnson to lead their rushing attack. They replaced Hopkins with Brandin Cooks and Randall Cobb. They will join Kenny Stills and Will Fuller in the receiving corps.

Houston also lost top defensive tackle DJ Reader via free agency to the Bengals. With a healthy JJ Watt returning, Houston is hoping that its defense will be improved. Houston’s rushing defense ranked 25th, while the passing defense ranked 29th in 2019.

The Chiefs are 9.5-point favorites in Thursday night’s game. In their last 20 season openers, the defending Super Bowl champions are 13-6-1 against the spread. 

The Chiefs have won five straight openers and six out of seven under head coach Andy Reid. Kansas City is also 11-0 straight up in its last 11 September games. 

As for the Texans, they are 2-4 against the spread in their last six games against the Chiefs. In their last five season openers, the Houston Texans are 1-4 straight up, so Houston hasn’t started the season off well of late. 

The over/under for this game is 53.5. With no fans being allowed in the stadium, Kansas City loses it’s very favorable home-field advantage. 

When these two met in the 2019 playoffs, they put up a combined 82 points in Kansas City’s 51-31 victory. 

With two great quarterbacks facing off in Mahomes and Deshaun Watson, we plan on seeing lots of points. Everything points to Kansas City finding the end zone often and winning this one comfortably.