NFL Betting Predictions That Could Reshape Odds To Win Super Bowl 53

Posted by Derrick Harper on February 1, 2019 in

With 17 years and three months separating them, the battle between Tom Brady and Jared Goff in Super Bowl 53 marks the second-largest age difference between starting quarterbacks in NFL playoff history, ranking only behind this year’s AFC Championship Game between Brady and Patrick Mahomes (18 years, one month).

Oddsmakers are giving an edge to experience, with New England going off as a 2.5-point favorite in the latest Patriots vs. Rams odds. The 2019 Super Bowl odds also have the total listed at 56.5 points, down 1.5 from the opener. Kickoff from Atlanta is at 6:30 p.m. ET on Sunday on CBS. Figuring out which quarterback to trust and evaluating every other matchup on the field will be crucial before locking in any Patriots vs. Rams picks of your own.

NFL Betting Predictions That Could Reshape Odds To Win Super Bowl 53

Patriots Continue to Shine

Patriots have gotten it done on defense when it has mattered the most. On the surface, the Patriots weren’t dominant on that side of the ball during the regular season, giving up 359.1 yards per game, ranking 21st in the NFL. Their 246.4 passing yards per game allowed ranked just 22nd in the league.

However, many of those numbers can be attributed to opponents playing from behind. And in the numbers that really count, New England was impressive, ranking seventh in scoring defense (20.3). In the postseason, the Patriots held the Chargers to just 14 points through three quarters before giving up garbage-time points and then held the Chiefs to 31, well under their season average. While Tom Brady and New England’s offense will grab many of the headlines, New England’s defense could be the key in getting a cover in Super Bowl 53.

Time is now for Los Angeles

Even with expectations through the roof in Year 2 under coach Sean McVay, the Rams regularly met or exceeded Vegas standards in 2018. They were 9-7 against the spread with a pair of pushes and had winning spread records away from home (5-4), as an underdog (1-0) and an extended rest (3-1).

The Rams come in as the underdog for Super Bowl 53.

While McVay’s offensive scheme rightfully gets plenty of credit, the Rams’ defense can get overlooked. Key offseason acquisition Ndamukong Suh joined Aaron Donald to help form a defensive front that recorded 41 sacks this season. Cornerbacks Marcus Peters and Aqib Talib, other big additions by GM Les Snead, gave Los Angeles veteran presences that came up huge in big games like the NFC Championship win over the Saints.

Betting Line Movement

Bettors placed early bets on the under which move the overall points line down from 58 to 56.5. If the public continues to place bets on the Patriots in large majority, the spread itself could be moved as well to entice bettors to take a stab at the Rams to cover the spread or win outright. This isn’t likely in this situation, however, with the country as a whole seemingly cheering for the Rams to pull the upset. Emotional bias can get in the way for casual bettors and the result would hold the spread where it is at.