NFL Betting: Buccaneers Season Betting Analysis

Posted by Derrick Harper on September 8, 2020 in

What an offseason it has been for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers! With the signing of Tom Brady sending expectations through the roof, the Bucs are expected to be a Super Bowl contender. Not only did they sign Brady, but Rob Gronkowski came out of retirement to join his former teammate. Also joining the club was Leonard Fournette, who was just recently released by the Jacksonville Jaguars. Let’s preview the Buccaneers season and some of the NFL odds that Las Vegas has put out.

NFL: Tampa Bay Buccaneers Season Betting Analysis (Total Wins, Division and Conference Odds)

Total Wins: Over/Under 9.5

The Bucs are playing in five prime-time games, and if they’re playing well, that number could increase. On paper, the Bucs are playing the 16th-hardest schedule in the NFL this season. 

Not only do they play in a tough division in the NFC South, but they also have tough road games at Denver, Chicago, and Las Vegas. Not counting their divisional games, they’ll also welcome some very tough opponents, including the Chargers, Packers, Rams, Chiefs, and Vikings, to Raymond James Stadium. 

They are at home for a month when they host the Rams, Chiefs, have a bye week, and then the Vikings, but that will still be a very hard stretch of games.

The offense seems to be getting all of the love, and no one is talking about how talented their defense is. Todd Bowles has put together one of the best defensive units in the league. 

Last year Tampa Bay turned the ball over and put the defense into vulnerable positions. This season Brady and company will take better care of the ball and allow the defense to prove how strong it truly is.

We like the Bucs going over the 9.5.

Odds to Win the NFC South: +140

We’ll see how good Tampa Bay truly is, as it heads to New Orleans in Week 1. If Tampa Bay can go there and come away with a victory, that will go a long way in determining who will win this division, as New Orleans is the team to beat in the NFC South. 

Atlanta has made some improvements, while Carolina is in rebuilding mode. This should be a two-team race between the Saints and the Buccaneers, and their Week 1 game could be the deciding factor in the divisional race.

Odds to win the NFC: +600

The NFC is loaded this year. With Dallas, Philadelphia, New Orleans, Minnesota, Green Bay, Chicago, San Francisco, Seattle, and some surprises along the way, Tampa Bay will need a lot of things to go right to get to the Super Bowl. If the offensive line can keep Brady upright, the Bucs will score some points. 

With Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Gronkowski, and a running game that will include Fournette and Ronald Jones II, this offense should be very solid. Combine that with a top defensive unit, and you have a team that could make some noise come playoff time. 

Health always plays an issue, and Brady is 43 years old, so Father Time could also play a factor. With these odds, the Bucs could be a good value pick for a Super Bowl run, but they’ll need a lot of things to go their way.