Best NFL Sure SU Picks Weeks 1-16

Best NFL Sure SU Picks Weeks 1-16

Written by on June 23, 2016

We’re less than three months away from the first week of the 2016 NFL season. There are a lot of fan bases that are excited about some of the new changes (RGIII to Cleveland, Chip Kelly to San Francisco) and some fan bases more than a little underwhelmed by the failure of their ownership to make meaningful changes (yes Philadelphia, we’re talking to you). There can still be some player movement between now and the start of the season, but for now, we’ve put together a list of the best sure SU picks for you to consider as you plan your online betting.

Closer Look at the Best NFL Sure SU Picks Weeks 1-16

Week 2: Kansas City at Houston (PK)

I know what you’re thinking — how can a “pick em” line be a sure SU pick? Well, if you’re dealing with a huge line, then you’re going to have to give up a lot in terms of your moneyline to get a book to take that wager. Last year, the Chiefs went down to Houston in Week 1 and delivered a rout. The Chiefs played well all the way until they ran into New England in the playoffs, while the Texans staggered to an AFC South title thanks in large part to the implosion of the Colts’ quarterback unit and the fact that Jacksonville and Tennessee would have been relegated if this were the Premier League. The Chiefs still have a stout defense and did not lose any major free agents, and Alex Smith showed that he can run the KC offense well last year. I like the Chiefs to win.

Week 4: Dallas (-3) at San Francisco

By the fourth week, the Cowboys should have remembered how to play defense, and Blaine Gabbert is not the sort of quarterback that will test their secondary much anyway. The offensive trio of Tony Romo, Dez Bryant and Ezekiel Elliott should be firing on multiple cylinders by this time as well. The Niner defense was not particularly solid last year, and while the Cowboys lost a dozen games last year, you can’t hang that on the defense, which kept the team in many games in which the carousel of backups to the injured Romo was unable to get simple first downs. I like the Cowboys to win.

Week 8: Minnesota (-2.5) at Chicago

I keep reading that the Bears are going to surprise people this year. It’s true that Jay Cutler was not the fourth-quarter interception machine that he has been in years past. It’s also true that John Fox will be able to make an even better defense in the Windy City in his second season. However, the Vikings have a higher ceiling than the Bears right now, and I seem them rolling into Chicago and winning this key divisional matchup. I like the Vikings to win.

Week 12: New York Giants (-3.5) at Cleveland

If you’ve been reading my previews, you’re aware of my advocacy for the RGIII bandwagon in Ohio. The Giants come into this season without the iron fist of Tom Coughlin guiding the team, and I’m not thinking that is going to be the best thing for them. I think Cleveland’s defense (which is a solid unit) will frustrate Eli Manning, and the Cleveland offense will be able to find room to operate against that Swiss-cheese secondary that the Giants have. I like the Browns to win.