Baltimore at NY Jets Week 7 Betting Pick & Lines

Posted by Peter Boysen on October 19, 2016 in

The Baltimore Ravens roared out to a 3-0 start, but they are cratering now, spiraling back down to .500 after a 27-23 loss to the New York Giants brought them to 3-3. Now they head back to the same stadium to take on the Jets, who have lost four in a row and embarrassed themselves on Monday Night Football out in the desert, falling 28-3 to the Arizona Cardinals as quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick basically imploded. Both teams need a win to shift the momentum of their seasons. Take a look at our NFL odds for the coming week’s action.

Baltimore at NY Jets Week 7 Betting Pick, Lines & TV Info

When: Sunday, October 23, 2016, 1:00pm ET
Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Radio: Baltimore / New York
Live Stream: NFL Live
NFL Odds: N.Y. Jets (-1), O/U 41.5

Why should you bet on the Ravens?

That three-game losing streak has not featured any blowouts. Baltimore led Oakland late three weeks ago but gave up a touchdown in the waning seconds to lose by one. The next week, they thought they had a game-winning touchdown pass to Breshard Perriman, but one of his feet came down out of bounds. Last week, the Ravens led by three at the two-minute warning, but then they gave up a 66-yard pass and catch from Eli Manning to Odell Beckham Jr on a fourth-and-one. The Ravens drove back down the field but simply could not score in time.

The Ravens lost their best cornerback, Jimmy Smith, to a concussion, and the Giants took advantage of the situation. The Ravens also did not have wideout Steve Smith (ankle), three of their offensive linemen, and linebacker C.J. Moseley (thigh). Linebacker Terrell Suggs tore his bicep during the game and should not play against the Jets. So you have a Raven team that competes hard every week and has had some bad breaks — a better pattern than what the Jets have put out there.

Why should you put your money on the Jets?

The quarterback position has turned into a real problem for New York. Ryan Fitzpatrick has ten picks in his last four games, and against the Cardinals he went just 16 for 31 for 174 yards and an interception. Geno Smith came on in relief and went 4 for 6 for 31 yards, throwing an interception of his own. Coach Todd Bowles expects to start Smith against the Ravens, in the hopes that he can jump-start an offense that has put up just 36 points in the last four games, while permitting 110. The Jets also have issues in their secondary, as they rank #28 in the NFL, permitting 290 yards per game. If Joe Flacco has a lot of time in the pocket, the Ravens could put up some big numbers, so the Jets have to mount a pass rush.

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

The Jets have fallen into a vicious cycle of poor play in all three phases of the game, and I don’t see that ending against the Ravens. I predict a final score of Baltimore 24, New York 6.