Updated March Madness Online Betting Tips

Posted by Peter Boysen on February 9, 2017 in

Every year, as much as $10 billion changes in hands in wagers on March Madness — the NCAA’s 68-team basketball tournament that takes takes three weekends to boil all of those squads down to one final champion. In the United States, about 70 million people will place bets on the action. This dollar amount puts more at hazard than what people risk on the Super Bowl each year. So how can you have the best shot at filling out a winning bracket? Don’t forget to look at all of our online betting odds and matchups for this week’s action as well.

Here’s A Closer Look At The Updated March Madness Online Betting Tips

 

Don’t get suckered in by win-loss record alone

Gonzaga might finish the regular season undefeated. They’re 24-0 now, and they are slicing and dicing their way through their conference schedule. However, they are in the West Coast Conference, where the only other school that’s even decent is St. Mary’s. They have only played two ranked opponents: then-#21 Iowa State (a two-point win in tournament play) and then-#16 Arizona (a seven-point win in a neutral-site tournament). So they haven’t played ANYONE tough in front of a hostile crowd. People are listing them as a 1-seed in the tournament, but let’s say a decent 8-seed comes in for that second-round game. It’s likely that team will be better than anyone Gonzaga has played since before Christmas. So don’t send Gonzaga all the way to the Final Four (or even further) simply on the basis of that record or that seed.

Moderate your underdogs

You’ll probably get two or three wins from the teams ranked #13 through #16 in the bracket. But you probably won’t get anymore. Cinderella stories are fun to read and fun to talk about, but the simple truth is that they don’t happen all that often. Sure, there was the year that Florida Gulf Coast made it all the way to the Final Four, and the year Butler made it all the way to the title game. But in that first round? The majority of those games end up as wins for the favorites.

However…

Look at games featuring a #6 vs a #11, or a #5 vs a #12. A lot of those five- and six-seeds are overrated teams from the power conferences, while those 11- and 12-seeds are underrated champions from lower conferences. In the last 31 tournaments, #12 seeds have won 44 of 124 matchups, and #11 seeds have won 43. So you should pick at least two, and maybe three, of those teams to win. In this case, look at how those five- and six-seeds finished down the stretch. Did they lose three in a row to finish their conference slate? Did they do a one-and-done in the conference tournament? Then they could be ripe for an early exit from March Madness.

Can they come from behind?

Take a look at teams that have completed a number of second-half comebacks, such as the one that Purdue pulled off against Maryland this past weekend. Also, look at teams that pull away late in games. Those are the ones that know how to put down the gas against lesser teams and move toward victory — the same tendencies you need to advance in the Big Dance.