UNC Wants The NCAAF Odds Upset vs Baylor In The Russell Athletic Bowl

Posted by Aaron . on December 28, 2015 in

Baylor and the University of North Carolina meet this Tuesday at 5:30pm Eastern time in the Russell Athletic Bowl. The Bears were ravaged by injuries down the stretch this year, finishing 1-5 ATS in their last six games. North Carolina is coming off a close loss to Clemson in the ACC championship game. Baylor is favored in the NCAAF odds lines to win by 3.5 points.

Why should you bet on North Carolina (+3.5)?

North Carolina had a head-scratching loss to South Carolina in Week 1 before winning 11 straight, scoring 40 or more points seven times. They clawed their way to within eight points of Clemson in the ACC title game, 45-37, with a minute left, but an awful call on their onside kick gave the ball back to Clemson, even though the Tar Heels had recovered the ball, and Clemson was able to run the clock out. Even so, UNC finished 11-2 (8-1 ACC). They are #20 in the nation in total offense, passing for 264 yards and running for 223 yards per game. The Tar Heel defense was iffy, although it did keep the opposition under 22 points in eight games.

Baylor Bears Mascot Will Be Ready for the Russel Athletic Bowl

Why should you take the Bears (-3.5)?

Baylor ran out to an 8-0 start this season, scoring 56 points or more on six different occasions. However, they lost their #1 and #2 quarterbacks and ended up with a wide receiver taking the reins against Texas, as their #3 quarterback went down too. They dropped three of four, including that 23-17 loss to Texas, to finish the season. It sounds like the #3 quarterback, Chris Johnson, will start for the Bears in the bowl game. However, the Bears still out gained their opponents even when they had no-names running the offense. Against Texas, they out gained the Longhorns by almost 200 yards but coughed the ball up four times. Their defense is porous, ranking #59 in the nation, but a lot of their opposition’s points came during garbage time.

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

I like North Carolina to make a statement after their frustrating loss to Clemson. Baylor has not covered the spread reliably lately, and I think the Tar Heels will not only cover but will win, with a final score of 31-27.