Top College Football Week 4 SU Picks

Posted by Peter Boysen on September 20, 2016 in

The first three weeks of the 2016 college football season have produced some real surprises. I thought that Louisville could edge Florida State, but I didn’t see that blowout coming — not by a long shot. One of the most rewarding experiences in sports betting comes when one of your hunches comes through big — for me, that came in Week 1 when Houston knocked off Oklahoma AND Wisconsin beat LSU. Take a look at our thoroughly researched college football odds to make your SU picks for Week 4.

Taking a Closer Look at the Top College Football Week 4 SU Picks

#13 Florida State (-6.5) over South Florida

Given all the press that Houston got in the American Athletic Conference last season, the drama in the AAC East flew under the wire. Temple and Navy were battling for the divisional lead, but right behind them all the way were the Bulls of South Florida. This year, they have routed all three opponents — beginning with a couple of cupcakes, in Towson and Northern Illinois, but their 45-20 win at ACC foe Syracuse was a legitimate thumping.

Even so, this one-touchdown line with Florida State makes absolutely no sense to me. This is a team that roared back from a 22-point deficit against Ole Miss and then throttled Charleston. They took a 63-20 thrashing at Louisville in Week 3, but that doesn’t make them likely to play a close game against South Florida. Instead, in my thinking, it makes them likely to run at full speed from the opening kickoff to the final whistle and deal the Bulls a rout.

#7 Stanford (-3) over UCLA

UCLA almost lost to BYU in Week 3, and they took a whipping at Texas A&M in Week 1 (of course, the Aggies are now #10 in the nation, so that loss might not turn out to be so bad). Stanford beat a really weak Kansas State team at home by the tepid score of 26-13, but after their (really early) bye week, they took care of USC at home — the same USC expected to win the Pac-12 South in many circles — 27-10. This game does take place down in Los Angeles, but UCLA has not played well against anyone yet — either at home or away — so I like the Cardinal to roll big in this one.

South Carolina (+2) over Kentucky

Let’s see. Kentucky almost beat unheralded Southern Miss in Week 1, but then they took a 45-7 spanking from the Florida Gators and followed that up by letting New Mexico State come into their own stadium and put up 42 points on them. The fact that Kentucky put up 62 in that game makes a splash, but the final score also shows that the Wildcats just don’t know how to play defense. South Carolina comes in with a fairly solid defense, holding Vanderbilt to 10 points and a balanced East Carolina offense to 15 points, but they still haven’t scored more than 20 points in a game. The key word here, of course, is “DEFENSE,” which South Carolina can play but Kentucky can’t. I pick South Carolina to come into Kentucky, shut down their offense, and waltz out with a win.