Top College Football Upset Picks Week 2

Top College Football Upset Picks Week 2

Written by on September 6, 2016

The NCAA produces some of the most unpredictable sets of betting lines each week during football season. While a lot of the games follow expected form, you see surprises week in and week out. Take a look at some of the upsets that we think will come to pass this coming weekend.

Top College Football Upset Picks of the Week

SMU (+32) at #23 Baylor

A year ago, these two teams met in Dallas, and the first half was very even. Right before intermission, SMU had the chance to tie the game at 28, but then some boneheaded clock management made their last drive falter, and so they went into the locker room down 28-21. The second quarter had seen SMU limit Baylor’s offensive output to a single yard. Then, SMU’s defense got tired and sloppy in the second half, and Baylor rolled to a 56-21 win. This year, SMU had the top recruiting class in the American Athletic Conference, and their defense is much deeper than it was a year ago. I don’t expect them to tire against Baylor — and I also don’t expect to see Baylor play as well. Yes, the Bears rolled to a 55-7 win over cupcake Northwestern State in Week 1, and while I don’t think SMU will win this straight up, they won’t lose by 32 points either. Led by Courtland Sutton, the SMU offense will keep firing into the second half, and with the added depth that the new recruiting class brought to the school, you will not see the same letup after halftime that doomed them a year ago.

Arkansas (+7.5) at #15 TCU

Both Arkansas and TCU struggled to fight off cupcakes in Week 1. The Razorbacks barely held off Louisiana Tech at home, winning 21-20, while TCU fought off South Dakota State University — but almost gave up 50 points in the process. What this tells me is that the defensive issues that made TCU struggle so much last year are still causing Gary Patterson headaches. While TCU still has that video-game style offense, in terms of piling up the points, their defense still has trouble getting stops of any kind. This is the same Arkansas team that went down to LSU and delivered a rout of the Tigers in the second half of the regular season last year. While the Razorbacks struggled with efficiency on both sides of the ball, their offense is more multidimensional than TCU’s, which relies heavily on the pass. I like the Razorbacks to mount a furious pass rush in this game and keep the game closer than the touchdown that the oddsmakers have set.