College Football Betting Alert: Texas A&M Play Conference Foes Ole Miss
Most weekends in college football, there are several tilts between ranked opponents. Now that we’re well into the depths of conference play, though, there is only one, as Texas A&M heads east to face the Ole Miss Rebels. The Aggies (5-1, 2-1 SEC) and the Rebels (5-2, 2-1 SEC) are knotted in the SEC West standings. The winner will emerge just one game out of the lead in the SEC West. The loser will be two games out – and will have too many teams ahead in the standings to have a chance of coming back to contend for the right to appear in the SEC Championship game.
Texas A&M (5-1) vs. Ole Miss (5-2) College Football Betting Preview
Date/Time: Saturday, October 24, 7:00 PM
Location: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium at Hollingsworth Field, Oxford, Mississippi
Opening Odds: Mississippi -6-110
The Aggies have not played any games outside Texas this year. Their defense permitted 236 yards on the ground to Derrick Henry, when they hosted Alabama last week. However, other than that, their defense played pretty well. It was the three pick-sixes that Kyle Allen threw that doomed the Aggies. Texas A&M had 15 tackles for loss against Alabama, and its adjustments allowed the offense a chance to fight its way back into a contest that, early on, resembled the 59-0 whitewashing that the Aggies had received in 2014 against the same Crimson Tide. Twitter reflected the positive trends in the Aggies’ play. As TexAgs.com’s Gabe Bock pointed out, it was all about “bend but don’t break” for the Aggie defense:
A&M D played great in last 3 quarters. 5 of ‘Bama’s 9 explosive plays came in 1st. Tide averaged just 2.6 points per trip inside A&M’s 40. — Gabe Bock (@GabeBock) October 18, 2015
Another @SBN_BillC stat we’re following is Havoc Rating (TFL, FF, PBU divided by # of plays). A&M’s HR vs. ‘Bama = 21.7% which is excellent.
— Gabe Bock (@GabeBock) October 18, 2015
Now, the Aggie offense did struggle – not just with those three pick-sixes but also with the inability to do anything on the ground against the Crimson Tide. The Aggies are built to run and gun, though, and a shootout is exactly what they will get against Ole Miss this year. In fact, until they finish the season against LSU, the Aggies will see teams that are built to run up the scoreboard.
Ole Miss comes into the game looking to get some redemption. They fell in a non conference game last week, losing 37-24 to undefeated upstart Memphis, one of the biggest victories in Tiger history. The formerly unbeaten Rebels now have some problems that they must address in a hurry. The running game has suddenly dried up, as Ole Miss averages 2.92 yards per carry in conference play for a total of 104 yards per week.
Texas A&M vs Ole Miss Betting Trends
- Texas A&M is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
- Texas A&M is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
- Texas A&M is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
- Texas A&M is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games on the road
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas A&M’s last 6 games on the road
- Mississippi is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi’s last 5 games
- Mississippi is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
- Mississippi is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The defense also has some problems thanks to injuries to safety Tony Conner and linebacker C.J. Johnson. Cornerback Tee Shepard has simply left the team, and defensive tackle Robert Nkemdiche may be out too, after he hurt his head playing, of all things, running back, a decision that haunted coach Hugh Freeze.
Without Nkemdiche anchoring the defense, Memphis reeled off touchdown after touchdown to win the game. Center Robert Conyers is out for the season with a torn ACL, but star offensive tackle Laremy Tunsil is coming back from a seven-game suspension. Right now, LSU is the only undefeated team in SEC West play. Alabama, Texas A&M and Ole Miss are right behind the Tigers with one loss. You don’t want to fall behind LSU and Alabama if you want to win the west, which makes this a huge matchup.