Texas A&M at Alabama Week 8 Betting Pick & Prediction

Posted by Peter Boysen on October 21, 2016 in

This Saturday features a terrific showdown between the top-ranked team in the nation — the Alabama Crimson Tide — and the sixth-ranked Aggies of Texas A&M. The Aggies knocked off #9 Tennessee 45-38 in double overtime two weeks ago, and they come off their bye for this week’s contest. The Crimson Tide demolished those same Tennessee Volunteers last week, 49-10, up in Knoxville. Alabama has won six of the eight meetings with Texas A&M all time, including the last three. The last time the Aggies won in this series took place when Johnny Manziel led his team to a shocking 29-24 upset win in Tuscaloosa in 2012. Take a look at all of our college football betting picks for this weekend.

Texas A&M at Alabama Week 8 Betting Pick, Prediction & TV Info

When: Saturday, Oct. 22, 3:30 p m. ET
Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa
Stream: CBSsports.com
RadioTexas A&M / Alabama
NCAA Football Odds: Alabama (-17), O/U 58.5

Why should you put your money on the Aggies?

The Aggies forced seven turnovers in their win over Tennessee, which gave them a +4 margin for the game and made it impossible for the Volunteers to take the lead in regulation — although Tennessee still mounted a furious comeback in the fourth quarter to send matters to overtime. The Aggie offense, though, musters a powerful force. They average 532.8 yards and 40.2 points per game, ranking #15 in the FBS for average points. They run the ball for 274.3 yards per game. Quarterback Trevor Knight (502 rushing yards, 9 TD) contributes more with his legs than his arm as he has completed only 53.5 percent of his passes this season. Even so, he has a solid receiving duo in Christian Kirk and Josh Reynolds, with Ricky Seals-Jones lining up in the slot or taking the field as a third receiver. If you bet on the Aggies, your logic has more to do with their ability to score on Alabama and keep within that gargantuan betting line than their ability to come out of Tuscaloosa with a straight up win.

Why should you bet on the Crimson Tide?

Going into Tennessee, Alabama took leads of 14-0 and 21-7, racing out to a 49-10 win and stifling a Volunteer team that has specialized in comebacks. They won the yardage battle 594-163, the first down battle 28-11, and they held the ball for three minutes longer than Tennessee did. The Tide score 45.4 points per game and gain 504.7 yards per game. Quarterback Jalen Hurts can do damage with his legs and his arm, and he has Damien Harris, Joshua Jacobs, Bo Scarbrough and B.J. Emmons — four talented tailbacks who can pick up a lot of yards in a hurry. Then you have to consider the Tide defense, a fast and physical bunch that simply leave you with no room for error.

My Free Pick and Final Score Prediction

Alabama has beaten the spread in 10 of their last 14 games as a favorite, while the Aggies have only beaten the spread 8 times in their last 27 conference games. After seeing what Alabama did to a strong Tennessee team, I like them to dominate this game at home. I predict a final score of Alabama 38, Texas A&M 17.