TCU Looks to Blast OSU in NCAAF Betting Week 10
The TCU Horned Frogs got some tough news this week. The first rankings for the College Football Playoffs were released this week, but unlike many NCAAF betting fans predicted, the team is #8 in the National Rankings, four big spots away from a playoff spot. The fact that several one-loss teams stand between them and a playoff position, such as Alabama and Notre Dame, may be as much a product of the committee’s bias toward the “blue blood” conferences and programs as anything else, but the fact remains that TCU has its work cut out for it if the team plans to be in one of those four playoff positions.
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Part of the problem is that TCU still hasn’t played anyone who is that dominant. However, the gauntlet portion of the season is about to begin. This Saturday, the Horned Frogs head to Stillwater, Oklahoma, to take on the OSU Cowboys who are #12. Both teams are 8-0 and 5-0 in Big 12 play. The Horned Frogs also still have to play the two best remaining teams in the Big 12: #14 Oklahoma and #6 Baylor.
At the beginning of the season, defense was a major question mark for TCU. They found themselves permitting a comeback to upstart SMU early in the season, to the point where the Mustangs came back to trail just 42-37 in the fourth quarter before the Frogs righted the ship and won 56-37. The last four Frog opponents have only scored a total of 17 second-half points, as TCU is figuring out how to dominate games down the stretch. Last week, they beat West Virginia 40-10, holding the Mountaineers to 327 yards of offense. Virginia Tech ended a streak of 27 straight games of at least 350 yards of offense, best in FBS.
It’s good that TCU’s defense is finally figuring things out, because Oklahoma State will push them. They have scored 128 points in the last two games, gaining 1,245 total yards, including 859 passing yards. The Cowboys fell behind Texas Tech last week 24-0 but still rolled back for a 70-53 victory. This means that there is also some inconsistency on defense for Oklahoma State, but they have found ways to hold teams while their offense comes back.
- TCU is 17-6 ATS in its last 23 games
- TCU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- TCU is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
- TCU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of TCU’s last 10 games on the road
- Oklahoma State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
- Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma State’s last 6 games
- Oklahoma State is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games at home
- Oklahoma State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
- Oklahoma State is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games at home
Junior defensive end Emmanuel Ogbah won the Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year title last year, and he got seven tackles, two tackles for loss, a sack and two quarterback hurries against Texas Tech last week. While the Tech offense is impressive, TCU’s is even better, with Heisman Trophy contender Trevone Boykin at the helm. The Frogs are #2 in the nation in scoring points, averaging 48.9 points each week. The offense averages 616.3 yards a game, and Boykin is #5 in the nation with 2,927 passing yards. Star wide receiver Josh Doctson is #1 in the nation with 1,250 yards receiving.
Oklahoma State last hosted TCu in 2012 and 2013, winning both, but the Frogs turned the tables last year, winning 42-9 in Fort Worth. This will be an interesting test for both teams.