NCAAF Betting Preview: San Diego State vs Air Force

Posted by Aaron . on December 1, 2015 in

The Mountain West Conference championship will be decided in San Diego this year, as the San Diego State Aztecs (8-3) prepare to welcome the Falcons of the Air Force Academy (8-3). The Falcons are four-point NCAAF betting underdogs, and the over-under total is set at 52.5 points.

Air Force @ San Diego State NCAAF Betting Game Information and Lines

Date/Time: Saturday, December 05, 2015 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Falcon Stadium
Opening Lines: San Diego State -6.5 (-117), Air Force +7 (-110)

Air Force just had a five-game winning streak snapped when they fell at New Mexico, 47-35. The Lobos had run out to a 31-17 lead at halftime, and the teams just kept trading touchdowns after halftime. New Mexico outgained Air Force 512-389 on the day. Quarterback Karson Roberts was not playing at his best, going just 6 for 16 for 167 yards. He did throw three touchdown passes but also had three picks. Timothy McVey led all Air Force receivers with five grabs for 157 yards (and all three scores). He also led the rushing attack, carrying the ball 12 times for 105 yards and a pair of scores. Roberts added 62 more yards on 14 carries of his own.

San-Diego-State-vs-Nevada-NCAAF-Betting-compressor

The Aztecs enter the game riding an eight-game winning streak. Last week, they earned the push on a 17-point spread as they beat Nevada at home, 31-14. Both sides of the ball have been clicking for San Diego State, and that continued as the offense outgained the Wolfpack, 408-263, forcing three turnovers. Quarterbacks Christian Chapman went 9 for 12 combined for 88 yards, and Rashaad Penny hauled in a pair of passes for 28 yards. It was the ground where San Diego State dominated the game, as Donnell Pumphrey carried the ball 23 times for 154 yards and a pair of scores. Chase Price picked up 112 more yards on 19 carries, getting a touchdown of his own.

Air Force @ San Diego State NCAAF Betting Game Analysis:

Air Force is 4-0 against the spread in their last four games after they failed to pass for at least 170 yards the week before. When the Falcons have permitted more than 200 yards on the ground, the “under” is 5-0 in the last five occasions. However, something has to give, as the Falcons are also 6-0 with the “over” in their last six MWC games.

San Diego State is 3-0-1 against the spread in their last four home contests, and they are 5-0-1 against the spread the last six times they haven’t passed for at least 170 yards. In their last six meetings, Air Force has gone 0-6 against the spread.

Air Force @ San Diego State Final Predictions

I don’t see San Diego State’s winning streak stopping this week. I see them barreling right over the Falcons, and I see them covering I also see them hitting the “over” as both offenses have a chance to operate with a lot of room.