Week 10 NCAAF Spread: Ole Miss Hosts Arkansas in SEC Battle
One of the more important games for SEC standings takes place in Oxford, Mississippi this week, as the Arkansas Razorbacks head south to take on Ole Miss. Here’s the reason: even though the Alabama Crimson Tide are currently #4 in the College Football Playoff rankings for some reason, Ole Miss can win the SEC West if they win their remaining games. They beat Alabama and hold that tiebreaker. They lost to Memphis, but that was a non conference game. So as we head to another exciting weekend of football action, let’s take a look at the game info and NCAAF spread.
TV: SEC Network
Odds: Ole Miss -11
Watch and Listen the Game Here
Jones with the MOVES on this TD play VIDEO: https://t.co/3fbQjICFA2
— Ole Miss Football (@OleMissFB) October 31, 2015
After beating Texas A&M and Auburn, the Rebels control their own destiny. If they can hold off the plucky Razorbacks, they will play LSU next week in a showdown that will determine the SEC’s destiny, as you could end up with a two-loss team winning the West against a Florida team from the East in the conference championship. Do you really think the CFP will put two teams in (as LSU and Alabama are right now) that didn’t even make the SEC title game? It’s time for Ole Miss to stand tall.
Arkansas beat Auburn a few weeks ago, but they needed four overtimes to get the win. Arkansas could slip back into contention for the SEC West title, but Alabama would need to go on an uncharacteristic losing streak. Arkansas also has to play LSU, Mississippi State and Missouri to finish the season. Arkansas has not established the running game that they hoped to, and the defense has shown the tendency to bend now and then, but this is a team that is taking small steps toward contending.
The Razorbacks will win if they can torch the Ole Miss secondary. The Rebels’ passing defense has had a good statistical year, but they still permitted more than 300 yards through the air against Auburn last week. Arkansas has a reputation for pounding the ball, but quarterback Brandon Allen has been solid too. The balance in this offense could keep Ole Miss on their heels – and propel Arkansas to victory.
Of course, the Arkansas defense has been very charitable this year. Arkansas surrendered 380 yards to Tennessee-Martin last week. The secondary has seven interceptions this year while only giving up eight touchdowns, Texas Tech, Texas A&M and Alabama were all able to use short and medium passes to zoom up and down the field. Ole Miss quarterback Chad Kelly will begin throwing early on and keep pushing the Razorback defense all over the place.
Betting Odds Trends
- Arkansas is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games
- Arkansas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
- Arkansas is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games on the road
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas’s last 5 games on the road
- Arkansas is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Mississippi
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arkansas’s last 8 games when playing Mississippi
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Mississippi
- Mississippi is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
- Mississippi is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi’s last 5 games
- Mississippi is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
- Mississippi is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi’s last 6 games at home
- Mississippi is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Arkansas
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Mississippi’s last 8 games when playing Arkansas
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi’s last 6 games when playing at home against Arkansas
The line on this game is Ole Miss (-11). I don’t know if I see them winning this game by that much, though. I see a one-touchdown win or less for Ole Miss, so I’d take the Razorbacks and all those points but expect to see a “W” in the Ole Miss column.