Week 11 NCAAF Odds: Sooners Look to Spoil Baylor’s Perfect Season
Thanks to the back-loaded schedule that the Big 12 released this year, the top teams in the conference are about to run into each other…at high speed. TCU finally faced its first tough conference game last week when they took on Oklahoma State…and they went down.
Baylor hasn’t played a difficult game all year long, and they finally enter the hard part of their schedule when they take on the Oklahoma Sooners this week. To their credit, Oklahoma had a tougher non conference schedule that saw them take down a talented Tennessee team. Baylor played a group of cupcakes in non conference play, which is one reason why the CFP has them stuck in the #6 slot in their rankings. Now, though, Baylor faces some tough games. So does Oklahoma.
This Saturday, Baylor will host Oklahoma in Waco. After Oklahoma plays Baylor, they get TCU at home and then head to Oklahoma State. If the Sooners win out, they could qualify for the College Football Playoff, if one of the four teams in the semifinal slots already stumbles. Baylor also wants to get into the playoffs. The Sooners will be especially motivated to knock off the Bears, who have routed them by the score of 48-14 and 41-12 the last two seasons. Oklahoma center Ty Darlington told Yahoo! Sports, “We know exactly what we’re up against, what they’ve done to us the last two years. If you don’t got a knot in your stomach about it and if you haven’t had it there the entire offseason, I don’t think you really buy into what we’re doing as a team, because I think it’s been everywhere.”
Oklahoma has beaten Kansas State, Kansas, Texas Tech and Iowa State by an aggregate 232-50. They have put up at least 50 points in their last four games, the first streak they’ve had like that since 2008. Coach Bob Stoops told Yahoo! Sports, “The way we’ve been playing, you have to feel confident – the way we’ve been executing, really, in all parts of the game. As much as anything, we’re playing together as a team. We’ve got to play that way Saturday.”
Baylor is #1 in the nation in scoring offense, passing efficiency and total offense. However, they have a freshman, Jarrett Stidham, who has suddenly been placed in the position of starting quarterback. Stidham did perform well in his debut, throwing for three scores and 419 yards in the Bears’ win over Kansas State last week. Stidham had made it onto the field every week for the Bears before Seth Russell broke a bone in his neck on October 24. Stidham had mostly appeared in mop-up roles, but he still hasn’t thrown a pick.
Betting Odds Trends
- Oklahoma is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
- Oklahoma is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma’s last 7 games
- Oklahoma is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
- Oklahoma is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Oklahoma’s last 10 games on the road
- Oklahoma is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baylor
- Oklahoma is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games when playing Baylor
- Oklahoma is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Baylor
- Oklahoma is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Baylor
- Baylor is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
- Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baylor’s last 9 games
- Baylor is 18-6 ATS in its last 24 games at home
- Baylor is 22-2 SU in its last 24 games at home
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baylor’s last 5 games at home
- Baylor is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma
- Baylor is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games when playing Oklahoma
- Baylor is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma
- Baylor is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma
Stidham will dictate the fortunes of the Bears going forward, as he will start at Oklahoma State and then at TCU in the next two games after the Oklahoma tilt. He will get, in the Sooner defense, a test unlike anything he has seen so far. Kansas State is a stout team, but they have been decimated on both sides of the ball by injuries. If the Bears can get by Oklahoma, look for Stidham to have the confidence to take the Bears to an undefeated season.