NCAAF Betting: Oklahoma Sooners vs Kansas State Wildcats Analysis

Posted by Derrick Harper on September 30, 2021 in

After an unimpressive 4-0 start to the season, with the exception of a 76-0 thumping of weak FCS Western Carolina, Oklahoma has fallen to sixth in the college football rankings after opening the season at number two. Their largest margin of victory over an FBS team is seven points over a pesky Nebraska team that put a late scare into the Sooners before losing 23 – 16.

Kansas State reached number 25 in the polls for a nanosecond before losing to Oklahoma State 31-20 last week to fall to 3-1 after opening the season with an impressive 24 – 7 victory over Stanford at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The Wildcats could only manage 260 yards against the Cowboys on the road and fell behind 31-10 in the second quarter before holding Oklahoma State scoreless the rest of the way. It’s time we take a closer look at both the Sooners and the Wildcats so you can get ready to bet against their NCAAF odds.

NCAA Football – #6 Oklahoma Sooners vs Kansas State Wildcats Preview

Oklahoma Sooners Betting Preview

The Sooners travel to Kansas State after squeaking by West Virginia 16 -13 in Norman on a field goal as time expired to take their only lead of the game. The Mountaineers held Oklahoma to 57 rushing yards and showed that their defeat of number 15 Virginia Tech a week earlier was no fluke.

Defensively, Oklahoma has been pretty stingy, allowing just over 300 yards a game and they held West Virginia to 247 and only 68 on the ground. The problem for the Sooners has been an inability to get the ball into the end zone even when they’re able to move the ball on their opponents like against Nebraska, but they were also shut down by West Virginia and were forced to win the game by kicking three second half field goals, all 35 yards or less.

Kansas State Betting Preview

The Wildcats have not been particularly productive on offense, instead relying on their defense to pick up their opening three wins, which let them down by giving up 481 yards at Oklahoma State, including 344 through the air. A pair of turnovers didn’t help their cause in a game where neither team scored in the fourth quarter.

In their opening game, Kansas State totally shut down the Stanford running game and didn’t allow score until the game was already decided with just over three minutes left in the contest, while running the ball for 200 yards and average 6.5 yards an attempt. If the Wildcats are going to defeat the better teams in the Big 12, they’ll need to use the same formula that defeated Stanford, not the one that got them beaten at Oklahoma State.

Betting Line and Odds

Oklahoma is at -10.5 as a road favorite a MyBookie in a place that has been tough to play in for the past 30 years or so. Both sides of the wager are paying out at odds of -110.

Oklahoma at Kansas State Prediction

Considering that Oklahoma has yet to defeat an FBS team by more than seven points makes a spread of 10.5 on the road appear to be rather high. The body of work for these two teams is big enough to have a good idea of what they’re about and how they need to play to be successful.

Prediction: Oklahoma 24 Kansas State 16. Take the points and the Wildcats at home.