Northern Illinois Visits Toledo in Tuesday Night NCAAF Betting
This week, the nationally televised MAC Tuesday night game features Northern Illinois traveling to #20 Toledo, one of the nation’s remaining unbeaten. Northern Illinois (5-3, 301 MAC West) has won their division in the MAC five seasons in a row and has won the conference championship game three of those five times. They have only lost five conference games since 2010, and two of those losses came in title games. At Toledo (7-0, 4-0) features head coach Matt Campbell, with a 22-6 career record in MAC games, with three of those losses at the hands of Northern Illinois, who has also won the last five meetings between the two teams. Toledo looks to break free of that trend, once and for all.
NCAAF Betting Odds and Game Info
Radio: WIND-AM 560, WLBK-AM 1360.
Records: Northern Illinois 5-3, 3-1 MAC; Toledo 7-0, 4-0.
The game features a clash between two of the best 25 rushing offenses in the nation, as well as the two best in the MAC. Northern Illinois features Joel Bouagnon, who is piling up points for the Huskies and currently leads the MAC in rushing yards. However, quarterback Drew Hare is also likely to run the ball at least ten times a game. Toledo has two strong tailbacks in Kareem Hunt and Terry Swanson, who average 185.5 combined yards per game. The defense that can control the run will have a huge advantage in this game.
Toledo’s quarterback, Phillip Ely, has a little Brett Favre in him. How do we know? He threw three picks in the first half against UMass last week, but then he led the team to 38 straight points as Toledo roared back to win 51-35. Northern Illinois will not be that forgiving if he keeps turning the ball over. Senior defensive tackle Orion Jones is #4 in the MAC in tackles for loss and #3 in sacks.
Northern Illinois brings sophomore cornerback Shawun Lurry, who has seven interceptions to lead the nation, including two when the school almost upset top-ranked Ohio State. He has 11 pass breakups, good for second in the MAC. Drew Hare threw four touchdown passes and rolled up 267 yards as the Huskies rolled over Eastern Michigan last Saturday.
Betting Odds Trends
- Northern Illinois is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Northern Illinois’s last 10 games
- Northern Illinois is 13-4-1 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
- Northern Illinois is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games on the road
- Northern Illinois is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Northern Illinois’s last 10 games on the road
- Northern Illinois is 5-11-1 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Toledo
- Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toledo
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Illinois’s last 6 games when playing Toledo
- Northern Illinois is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Toledo
- Toledo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
- Toledo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toledo’s last 7 games
- Toledo is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
- Toledo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toledo’s last 5 games at home
- Toledo is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Northern Illinois
- Toledo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northern Illinois
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toledo’s last 6 games when playing Northern Illinois
- Toledo is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois is one of four teams that appear on Tuesday, Wednesday or Thursday evening broadcasts four times. Toledo appears in three straightTuesday night games. Air Force and Toledo are the only two teams in the nation that have not permitted a sack, but while Air Force has only thrown the ball 76 times, Toledo has done it 253 times.
Look for Toledo to move to 8-0 and possibly move up in the national rankings. Toledo will not have as strong a case as Temple as far as moving closer to the top ten, because Toledo does not have a schedule that is as difficult as Temple’s – and Temple’s lone loss comes to a terrific Fighting Irish team so far. Nevertheless, so long as Toledo keeps winning, it will be difficult to argue that they are not worthy of some sort of consideration as the end of the season draws near.