Mississippi State at Ole Miss Week 13 Betting Pick & Prediction

Posted by Peter Boysen on November 24, 2016 in

Ole Miss (5-6) not only has a chance to win the Egg Bowl against Mississippi State (4-7) in today’s matchup, but they also have a chance to head for a postseason bowl game if they pick up their sixth win of the season. Ole Miss took an ignominious loss at the hands of Vanderbilt last weekend, ending their two-game winning streak. Mississippi State has lost two straight (to those same Vanderbilt Commodores and to Arkansas), so now they are basically playing to spoil the Rebels’ postseason hopes. Take a look at all of our college football betting picks for this huge rivalry weekend.

Mississippi State at Ole Miss Week 13 Betting Pick & Prediction

When: Saturday, November 26, 2016, 3:30pm ET
Where: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
TV: SEC Network
Radio: Mississippi State / Ole Miss
Live Stream: SEC Network Live
NCAA Football Odds: Ole Miss (-7.5), O/U 69.5

Why should you bet on the Bulldogs?

It seems like it’s been about 20 years since Bulldog quarterback Dak Prescott had Mississippi State sitting atop the college football rankings. It’s really just been a couple of seasons, but you wouldn’t have known that seeing the Arkansas Razorbacks gallop to a 58-42 win over Mississippi State last week. The Razorbacks’ tailback Rawleigh Williams ran for four touchdowns in the first half alone, rolling through holes that would have been big enough to accommodate a moving van. Given how awful this defense is, picking the Bulldogs here is a difficult argument to make, given how prolifically the Rebels can score points. The only saving grace here is that Ole MIss has to do without quarterback Chad Kelly, lost for the season with an ACL tear. Backup Shea Patterson is a freshman, but his 20-for- 42 performance against Vanderbilt last week had a lot less to do with accuracy and more to do with dropped passes.

Why should you put your money on the Rebels?

While Ole Miss did suffer that embarrassing loss to Vanderbilt, the week before, they took down Texas A&M by a 29-28 score — which was Patterson’s freshman as a debut. He went 25 for 42 for 338 yards and a pair of touchdowns, and he ran for 64 yards as well. He should have plenty of poise for his first Egg Bowl, playing in front of his home crowd. Given how poorly the Bulldogs’ defense has played last week, the Rebels should be able to cover this spread fairly easily.

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

The Bulldogs have gone 1-4 against the spread in their last five games, and the home team is 4-1 against the spread in the last five Egg Bowls. I like Ole Miss to win, 31-13 — but I don’t see this game getting close to that over/under total.